Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 6/13/24

New York Mets (28-37) vs Miami Marlins (23-43)

Game Info: Thursday, June 13, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Luis Severino (4-2) (3.62) vs Roddery Munoz (1-2) (5.95)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -192 / Miami Marlins +161 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Citi Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 23-44 on the year and play the Nationals and Cardinals next. The Miami Marlins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 65 hits and 30 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 125 hits and 63 RBI.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 29-37 this season and take on the Padres and Rangers next. The New York Mets have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The New York Mets have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the New York Mets with 64 hits and 28 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have combined for 123 hits and 64 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Roddery Munoz gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-2 with a 5.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Munoz has allowed 12 hits and 10 runs in his last 8.2 innings. Munoz has a 7.45 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 9.2 road innings. This will be Munoz’s first career game against the New York Mets.

Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 4-2 with a 3.25 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 12 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 13.1 innings. Severino has a 2.61 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 41.1 home innings. Severino is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last 12 Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets' last four games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets' last nine Thursday night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded two or more RBIs in five of the Mets' last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Bethancourt has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Double in four of the Marlins' last five games as underdogs.
  • Christian Bethancourt has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs against the Mets.
  • Josh Bell has recorded two or more total bases in each of his eight previous Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Tim Anderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins' last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 11 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank T5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (61).
  • The New York Mets rank 8th in the league for strikeouts against this season (526).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (241).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (90).

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

I'm not thrilled to lay this price with the New York Mets or the RL, but what choice do we have? The Miami Marlins aren't a good baseball team, and Roddery Munoz has been rough in limited action. A Mets lineup that's consistently shown up this week should have a field day against Munoz. Luis Severino has also been good this season and even better at home where he has an ERA under 3. On paper, the Mets should win this game, and they simply can't afford to blow it if they want to stay in the wild card race. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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