Mar 3, 2026; Columbia, South Carolina, USA; Tennessee Volunteers guard Ja'kobi Gillespie (0) shoots over South Carolina Gamecocks guard Kobe Knox (4) in the second half at Colonial Life Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-Imagn Images
Jeff Blake-Imagn Images

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers
Team Records 23-7 21-9
Spread +4.5 -115 -4.5 -105
Moneyline +154 -185
Total Over 145.5 (-112) Under 145.5 (-108)
Where Food City Center, Knoxville, TN
When Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time 02:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Thompson-Boling Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers prediction.

Vanderbilt Commodores Recap

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game looking to add on to their 89-86 win over Ole Miss last time out to sit at 23-7 this season.

Commodores Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Tyler Tanner leads the ‘Dores with 17.8 PPG and in assists with 5.1 APG along with 3.5 RPG while Duke Miles has 16.6 PPG with 3 RPG and 4.3 APG. Tyler Nickel has 14.5 PPG with 3.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Vanderbilt so far this season. Devin McGlockton has 9.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG to lead Vanderbilt in rebounding and Jalen Washington has 8.9 PPG with 5.4 RPG. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 88.8 PPG on 48.7% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three and 77% from the foul line this season.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

– Tennessee has lost each of its last six Saturday games as an AP-ranked team.
– Vanderbilt has won 23 of its last 30 games.
– Tennessee has lost the first half in each of its last seven day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Tennessee Volunteers Recap

The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to add on their 78-59 win over South Carolina to sit at 21-9 this season.

Volunteers Snap Two-Game Skid

Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the Vols in scoring and assists with 18.1 PPG and 5.4 APG while Nate Ament has 17.9 PPG with 6.5 RPG to lead the Vols in rebounding along with 2.5 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Tennessee up to this point in the year. J.P. Estrella has 9.3 PPG with 5 RPG while Jaylen Carey has 7.5 PPG with 6.2 RPG of his own and Felix Okpara has 7.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 80.5 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 69.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

– Tennessee has won each of its last eight home games against Vanderbilt.
– Vanderbilt has lost five of its last six day games after coming off overtime.
– Tennessee has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 games at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.

Total Points Facts

– Eight of Tennessee’s last nine home games against Vanderbilt have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
– Seven of Vanderbilt’s last eight games have produced a total of 151+ points.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction

I’m on Tennessee here. I get the case to be made for the Commodores, but I think that Tennessee’s in a better position right now as the Vols for the most part have come on strong in the last month and a half. Vanderbilt was rolling coming into conference play but have looked mortal against the rest of the SEC and while it’s a revenge spot for the ‘Dores, I think Tennessee’s home court rules out here and gets the Vols the win and cover here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tennessee -4.5

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