Stars vs Sabres Prediction 4/15/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, April 15th at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 49-20-12 this season after they defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Dallas trailed 3-0 after the first period and 5-3 in the third, but they scored three goals in the last 12 minutes for the win. The Stars out shot Toronto by a total of 32-27, won 60.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Bourque (3), Hryr, Johnston, and Robertson, while DeSmith stopped 22 out of 27 shots, which was an .815 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Rangers by a score of 2-0 and the Wild by a score of 5-4. The Stars have won four games in a row and they are currently second in the Central standings with 110 points. Dallas has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 2.70 goals against per game, while also going 28.6% on the power play and 80.1% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 45 goals and 51 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 45 goals and 41 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 34-12-6 with a 2.59 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this season. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 50-23-8 this year after they defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 5-1 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 1-0 in the first period, but they scored the last five goals in the lopsided win. The Sabres out shot Chicago by a total of 26-16, won 55.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from McLeod, Norris, Thompson (2), and Tuch, while UPL stopped 15 out of 16 shots, which was a .938 save percentage.

Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated the Blue Jackets by a score of 5-0 and the Rangers by a score of 5-3. The Sabres have won four games in a row and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 108 points. Buffalo has scored 3.46 goals per game and they have allowed 2.93 goals against per game, while also going 19.8% on the power play and 82.1% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 40 goals and 41 assists, while Alex Tuch has added 32 goals and 33 assists. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Colten Ellis, who is 8-4-1 with a 2.91 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this season. 

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won each of their last 11 home games following a road win.
• The Stars have lost each of their last three games following a road win.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last four games as underdogs following a road win.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
• The Sabres have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Sabres’ last eight games at KeyBank Center.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites.
• The Sabres have lost the second period in each of their last three games as favorites when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Sabres’ last eight games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last seven road games against the Sabres.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Sabres’ last four home games against Central Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Alex Tuch has scored a goal in four of the Sabres’ last five games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Jason Zucker has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Stars vs Sabres Prediction 

Buffalo comes into this matchup after clinching the first seed in the Atlantic standings and they have won four games in a row. The Sabres are 26-10-4 at home this year, while the Stars are 23-9-8 on the road. Dallas has also won four games in a row, but they barely got by Toronto in their last game. Both teams have solid defensive numbers on the season and I expect key players on both sides to sit out, so I like the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 6.5