Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction 4/16/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 16th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-10 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 9-7 and 1-2. In game two, Toronto led 1-0 for most of the game, but they allowed two runs in the eighth for the tough loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanchez, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Cease allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Rogers blew the save and was charged with the loss. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Dodgers. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.60 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 67 runs with a .244 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Andres Gimenez has led the Blue Jays with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Patrick Corbin, who is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-8 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Wednesday night. Milwaukee fell behind 1-0 in the first inning, but they manufactured two runs in the bottom of the eighth to steal the win. The Brewers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Contreras and Turang, who both had one RBI. Patrick allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings, while Ashby got the win and Uribe picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee lost all three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 89 runs with a .237 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with five home runs and 13 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added three home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Sproat, who is 0-1 with a 10.45 ERA and a 2.32 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight Thursday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Brewers’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five games as home favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games as home favorites against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 road games.

Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction 

Milwaukee was able to snap their losing streak with a lucky win on Wednesday night and they will look for the series win here. The Brewers are 6-5 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 1-4 on the road. Toronto has lost three of their last four games and they have scored two runs in two of their last three. I don’t trust either starting pitcher in this matchup and I think both offenses will have big days, so I like the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5