Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle United vs Brighton Prediction for this English Premier League Week 8 matchup on Saturday, October 18th, at the American Express Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brighton Preview

Brighton has 9 points this season, with a 2-2-3 record, and is sitting in 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-2 home record and a 1-2-1 away record. Brighton is coming off a 1-1 draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on the road, and will face Manchester United, Arsenal, and Leeds United next.

Brighton is scoring 1.43 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.43 goals per game, which is 12th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Jan Paul van Hecke, Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma, Yasin Ayari, Maxim De Cuyper, Brajan Gruda, Matt O’Riley and James Milner with one goal apiece. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United has 9 points this season, with a 2-2-3 record, and is sitting in 11th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-0 home record and a 0-0-3 away record. Newcastle United is coming off a 2-0 win against Nottingham Forest at home, and will face Benfica, Fulham, and Tottenham next.

Newcastle United is scoring 0.86 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.71 goals per game, which is 2nd. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle United’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães with 2 goals, and William Osula with one goal. Sandro Tonali is Newcastle United’s top passer, with 1 assist.

Why Brighton will win

·        Brighton has won four of its last six EPL matches as a home underdog.

Why Newcastle United will win

·        Newcastle United has won each of its last three EPL Saturday day matches as an away favorite.

·        Newcastle United has won five of its last six EPL matches as an away favorite following a league win.

·        Newcastle United has won 17 of its last 22 EPL matches as a favorite.

·        Newcastle United has won six of its last eight EPL matches as an away favorite.

·        Newcastle United has won six of its last eight EPL day matches as a favorite.

·        Brighton has lost 11 of its last 14 EPL matches as an underdog following a league draw.

·        Brighton has lost five of its last seven EPL day matches following a league draw.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last six EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Brighton’s last nine EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL away matches.

Newcastle United vs Brighton Prediction

Brighton was 2-0-1 in their three meetings against Newcastle last season, but had a 1-1 draw in their only home meeting. Brighton has three wins and two draws in their last 5 meetings against Newcastle, and under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Newcastle United vs Brighton Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Both teams have exactly the same record this season, and both have been in very good form lately, having lost only once in their last seven and five games respectively. Both have been involved in some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 9-2 to the over in their last 11 games combined. Newcastle’s all three road games had been 0-0 draws, and both teams have been historically playing low-scoring games. Newcastle has the third-worst offense and the second-best defense, so take the under 2.5 goals in this one.