Aug 3, 2024; Columbia, South Carolina, USA;  
The match between Manchester United and Liverpool at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-Imagn Images
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Newcastle United vs Brentford FC Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Newcastle United Newcastle United Brentford FC Brentford FC
Team Records 3-3-4 4-1-5
Where Gtech Community Stadium, London
When Sunday, November 9, 2025
Time 09:00 AM EST
TV Peacock

In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle United vs Brentford Prediction for this English Premier League Week 11 matchup on Sunday, November 9th, at the Gtech Community Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brentford Preview

Brentford has 13 points this season, with a 4-5-1 record, and is sitting in 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-1-1 home record and a 1-4-0 away record. Brentford is coming off a 2-0 road defeat to Crystal Palace, where they had 64% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.54 compared to Crystal Palace’s 0.70.

Brentford is scoring 1.40 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.60 goals per game, which is 15th. Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Kevin Schade, Dango Ouattara and Mathias Jensen with two goals apiece. Kevin Schade and Mikkel Damsgaard are Brentford’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United has 12 points this season, with a 3-4-3 record, and is sitting in 13th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-0 home record and a 0-3-2 away record. Newcastle is coming off a 3-1 road defeat to West Ham United, where they had 63% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 86% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.52 compared to West Ham United’s 1.75.

Newcastle is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.10 goals per game, which is 6th. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães with three goals and Jacob Murphy with two goals. Bruno Guimarães and Jacob Murphy are Newcastle’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Why Brentford will win

·        Brentford has won three of its last four EPL day matches as a home underdog.

·        Brentford has won five of its last seven EPL matches as an underdog following a league loss.

·        Brentford has won four of its last six EPL matches as a home underdog.

·        Brentford has won four of its last six EPL matches as a home underdog following a league loss.

·        The underdog has won four of Brentford’s last six EPL matches at Gtech Community Stadium.

·        The home team has won five of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL matches.

Why Newcastle United will win

·        Newcastle United has won six of its last seven EPL matches against Brentford.

·        Newcastle United has won four of its last five EPL day matches against Brentford.

·        Newcastle United has won three of its last four EPL away matches against Brentford.

·        Brentford has lost three of its last four EPL day matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL day matches as an away favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Brentford’s last eight EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last three EPL matches between Brentford and Newcastle United.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last three EPL home matches against Newcastle United.

Newcastle United vs Brentford Prediction

Newcastle is 7-1 in its last 8 meetings against Brentford and the over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. 

In this Newcastle United vs Brentford Prediction, Newcastle is coming as +140 road favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points this season but Newcastle has been winless on the road with three losses and two draws. Brentford is 3-1 in their last 4 overall games and in their last 4 at home and have a better offense this season. This is more of a coinflip game, so the value lies with the home dog who I expect them to keep this one close. Take Brentford by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Brentford +0.5

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