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Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Manchester United Manchester United | Aston Villa Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-5-4 | 10-3-3 |
| Where | Villa Park, Birmingham | |
| When | Sunday, December 21, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:30 AM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 33 points this season, with a 10-3-3 record, and is sitting in 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 6-1-1 home record and a 4-2-2 away record. Aston Villa FC is coming off a 3-2 win against West Ham United on the road, where they had 59% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.67 compared to West Ham United’s 1.02.
Aston Villa FC is scoring 1.56 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.06 goals per game, which is 5th. Morgan Rogers is Aston Villa FC’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Emi Buendía and Donyell Malen with 4 each, Matty Cash and Ollie Watkins with 3 each, Amadou Onana with 2, and John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara with one goal apiece. Morgan Rogers, Boubacar Kamara and Lucas Digne are Aston Villa FC’s top passers with 3 assists each.
Manchester United Preview
Manchester United has 26 points this season, with a 7-4-5 record, and is sitting in 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-2-2 home record and a 3-2-3 away record. Manchester United FC is coming off a 4-4 draw against AFC Bournemouth at home, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 25 total shots, 9 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 3.40 compared to AFC Bournemouth’s 1.94.
Manchester United FC is scoring 1.88 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.63 goals per game, which is 14th. Bryan Mbeumo is Manchester United FC’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Bruno Fernandes with 5, Casemiro with 4, Mason Mount with 3, Matheus Cunha, Amad Diallo Traoré and Benjamin Šeško with 2 each, and Diogo Dalot with one goal. Bruno Fernandes is Manchester United FC’s top passer, with 7 assists.
Why Aston Villa will win
· Aston Villa has won each of its last nine EPL day matches.
· Aston Villa has won each of its last eight EPL home matches following a league win.
· Aston Villa has won each of its last six EPL matches.
· Aston Villa has won each of its last six EPL home matches.
Why Manchester United will win
· Manchester United has won each of its last three EPL matches as an underdog.
· Manchester United has won four of its last six EPL matches as an underdog.
· Manchester United has won four of its last five EPL matches against Aston Villa.
· Manchester United has won four of its last five EPL matches against Aston Villa following a league draw.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last seven EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL day matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL home matches against Manchester United.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL matches.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction
Manchester United has six wins and one draw in its last seven meetings against Aston Villa and both of their meetings last season went under the total with two and zero total goals.
In this Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as +110 home favorites. Aston Villa has been the better team this season, with 7 more points and have been scorching-hot lately, as they have nine consecutive wins. United has also been undefeated in 9 of its last 10 games, so this might be more of a coinflip match than the line indicates, as United has been dominating Aston Villa in recent years and also have a better offense this season. I don’t like it, but I will take a stab with Manchester United by +0.5 goals in this one.
