Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction for this English Premier League Week 11 matchup on Sunday, November 9th, at the Etihad Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 19 points this season, with a 6-3-1 record, and are sitting in 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-0 home record and a 2-2-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 3-1 win against Bournemouth at home, where they had 48% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 86% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.22 compared to Bournemouth’s 0.72.

Manchester City is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.80 goals per game, which is 3rd. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 13 goals, followed by Tijjani Reijnders, Phil Foden, Matheus Nunes, Nico O’Reilly and Rayan Cherki with one goal apiece. Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki are Manchester City’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool has 18 points this season, with a 6-4-0 record, and are sitting in 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-0 home record and a 2-3-0 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 2-0 win against Aston Villa at home, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.19 compared to Aston Villa’s 0.41.

Liverpool is scoring 1.80 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.40 goals per game, which is 8th. Mohamed Salah is Liverpool’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Cody Gakpo, Ryan Gravenberch and Hugo Ekitike with three goals each and Federico Chiesa with two goals. Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo are Liverpool’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won nine of its last 10 EPL home matches.

·        Manchester City has won seven of its last eight EPL Week 11 home matches.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last five EPL Week 11 home matches.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last four EPL home matches.

·        Manchester City has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        The home team has won five of Liverpool’s last six EPL matches.

·        Liverpool has lost four of its last five EPL matches.

·        Liverpool has lost each of its last three EPL away matches.

Why Liverpool will win

·        The underdog has won four of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches.

·        Liverpool has won five of its last seven EPL Sunday day away matches.

·        Liverpool has won 17 of its last 24 EPL Sunday matches.

·        Liverpool has won 24 of its last 34 EPL day matches.

·        Liverpool has won 16 of its last 23 EPL Sunday day matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Liverpool’s last nine EPL day matches as an away underdog.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last four EPL matches between Manchester City and Liverpool.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of the last six EPL matches between Manchester City and Liverpool.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Liverpool’s last seven EPL away matches.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-2 in their last 6 overall meetings with their last four meetings having gone under the total.

In this Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -120 home favorites. City has been red-hot lately with a 6-1 record in its last 7 games across all competitions, having the second-best offense and third-best defense. Liverpool has back-to-back wins, but have been terrible on the road, with a 1-4 record in its last 5 road games. The value here lies with the home team that has been in far better form and has the help of their home crowd, so take Manchester City on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester City ML