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Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Leeds United Leeds United | Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-2-5 | 1-3-6 |
| Where | The City Ground, Nottingham | |
| When | Sunday, November 9, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:00 AM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Nottingham Forest Preview
Nottingham Forest has 6 points this season, with a 1-6-3 record, and are sitting in 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-3-1 home record and a 0-3-2 away record. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 2-2 draw against Manchester United at home, where they had 41% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 75% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.93 compared to Manchester United’s 1.11.Nottingham Forest is scoring 0.70 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.90 goals per game, which is 19th. Chris Wood is Nottingham Forest’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Neco Williams, Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Nicolò Savona with one goal apiece. Morgan Gibbs-White and Dan Ndoye are Nottingham Forest’s top passers, with one assist each.
Leeds United Preview
Leeds United has 11 points this season, with a 3-5-2 record, and are sitting in 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-2 home record and a 1-4-0 away record. Leeds is coming off a 3-0 road defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion, where they had 50% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.49 compared to Brighton & Hove Albion’s 3.07.Leeds is scoring 0.90 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.70 goals per game, which is 17th. Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor are Leeds’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha with one goal apiece. Sean Longstaff is Leeds’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Why Nottingham Forest will win
· Nottingham has won five of its last six league day matches against Leeds at City Ground.· Leeds has lost each of its last six EPL Sunday matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last six EPL Sunday day matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last eight EPL matches as an away underdog.
· Leeds has lost nine of its last 10 EPL away matches.
Why Leeds United will win
· Leeds has won four of its last five league day matches following a league loss.· The underdog has won each of Leeds’ last four league matches at City Ground.
· The underdog has won each of the last four league matches between Nottingham and Leeds at City Ground.
· Nottingham has lost four of its last six EPL matches as a home favorite.
· Nottingham has lost four of its last five EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Leeds’ last 13 EPL day matches as an underdog.· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 14 of Leeds’ last 16 EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Leeds’ last six EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Nottingham’s last five EPL home matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Nottingham’s last four league home matches against Leeds.
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Both teams are a perfectly balanced 3-3-3 in their last 12 overall meetings with the under being 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.In this Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Nottingham Forest is coming as +120 home favorites. The wrong team is favored in this spot, as Forest has almost half as many points as Leeds this season and have been the second-worst team in the Premier League both offensively and defensively, losing by an average of 1.2 goals per game. I expect the guests to keep this one close, so take Leeds by +0.5 goals in this one.
