Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction 10/18/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 8 matchup on Saturday, October 18th, at the Turf Moor Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United has 8 points this season, with a 2-3-2 record, and is sitting in 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-2 home record and a 1-2-0 away record. Leeds United is coming off a 1-2 loss against Tottenham Hotspur at home, and will face West Ham, Brighton, and Nottingham Forest next.

Leeds United is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.57 goals per game, which is 15th. Noah Okafor is Leeds United’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Joe Rodon, Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha with one goal apiece. Anton Stach is Leeds United’s top passer, with 1 assist.

Burnley Preview

Burnley has 4 points this season, with a 1-5-1 record, and is sitting in 18th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-1 home record and a 0-4-0 away record. Burnley is coming off a 1-2 road defeat against Aston Villa, and will face Wolves, Arsenal, and West Ham next.

Burnley is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.14 goals per game, which is 19th. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Josh Cullen, Lyle Foster and Lesley Ugochukwu with one goal apiece. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Leeds United will win

·        Leeds has won each of its last eight league matches as a favorite.

·        Leeds has won each of its last six league matches as a favorite following a league loss.

·        Leeds has won six of its last seven league matches following a league loss.

Why Burnley will win

·        Burnley has won each of its last four EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Burnley has won each of its last four EPL Saturday matches against promoted teams.

·        Burnley has won each of its last four EPL Saturday day matches against promoted teams.

·        Burnley has won five of its last six league Saturday home matches.

·        Leeds has lost four of its last five EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Leeds has lost seven of its last eight EPL away matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Leeds’ last seven league day matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Leeds’ last nine EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 14 EPL day matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Leeds’ last 11 EPL matches against promoted teams.

Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Burnley won 1-0 on the road, while both teams had a 0-0 draw in Burnley’s home court. Leeds is 4-1-2 in their last 7 meetings against Burnley, and under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction, Leeds United is coming as +120 road favorites. Leeds has been the better team this season, having twice as many points as Burnley this season, but have won only once in their last seven games. Burnley has also been in terrible form lately, having lost five of their last six games, so I don’t like either side in this matchup. Both teams are a combined 6-0 to the over in their last 6 games, with Burnley having the second-worst defense in the Premier League. Take the over 2.5 goals in this one.