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Leeds United vs Brentford FC Prediction 12/14/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Leeds United Leeds United | Brentford FC Brentford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-3-8 | 6-1-8 |
| Where | Gtech Community Stadium, London | |
| When | Sunday, December 14, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:30 AM EST | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Brentford Preview
Brentford has 19 points this season, with a 6-8-1 record, and is sitting on the 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-1-1 home record and a 1-7-0 away record. Brentford is coming off a 2-0 road defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 4 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.29 compared to Tottenham Hotspur’s 2.18.
Brentford is scoring 1.40 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.60 goals per game, which is 15th. Igor Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Kevin Schade and Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara with three goals apiece and Mathias Jensen with two goals. Jordan Henderson is Brentford’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Leeds United Preview
Leeds United has 15 points this season, with a 4-8-3 record, and is sitting on the 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-2 home record and a 1-6-1 away record. Leeds is coming off a 3-3 draw against Liverpool at home, where they had 45% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.50 compared to Liverpool’s 1.91.
Leeds is scoring 1.27 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.93 goals per game, which is 19th. Lukas Nmecha and Dominic Calvert-Lewin are Leeds’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Joe Rodon, Anton Stach, Ao Tanaka and Noah Okafor with two goals apiece. Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson and Jayden Bogle are Leeds’s top passers, with 2 assists each.
Why Brentford will win
· Brentford has won each of its last 11 EPL home matches against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won each of its last 11 EPL matches as a home favorite against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won nine of its last 10 EPL matches against promoted teams.
· Brentford has won each of its last three EPL home matches.
· The home team has won each of Brentford’s last seven EPL matches.
· The home team has won six of Leeds’ last eight EPL matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last eight EPL Sunday matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last 10 EPL matches as an away underdog.
· Leeds has lost each of its last six EPL day matches.
· Leeds has lost 14 of its last 17 EPL day matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last eight EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last seven EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Leeds’ last 11 EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Leeds’ last 11 EPL matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 19 of Leeds’ last 21 EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Leeds’ last five EPL matches.
Leeds United vs Brentford Prediction
Both teams are a perfectly balanced 4-4-6 in their last 14 meetings going back to 2009. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Leeds United vs Brentford Prediction, Brentford is coming as +100 home favorites. Brentford has been the better team this season, as they have more points than Leeds and have been very strong at home with a 5-1-1 record, while on the other hand, Leeds has been terrible on the road, with a 1-6-1 record. Brentford has been in excellent form at home lately, as they have lost only once in their last six home games, and that loss was against Manchester City. On the flip side, Leeds is 1-7 in its last 8 road games and has been weaker both offensively and defensively than Brentford. The value here lies with the home team, so take Brentford on the moneyline in this one.
