Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Leeds United vs Brighton Prediction for this English Premier League Week 10 matchup on Saturday, November 1st, at the American Express Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Brighton Preview

Brighton has 12 points this season, with a 3-3-3 record, and is sitting on the 13th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-2 home record and a 1-3-1 away record. Brighton is coming off a 4-2 road defeat to Manchester United, where they had 56% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.12 compared to Manchester United’s 1.29.

Brighton is scoring 1.56 goals per game, which ranks 9th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.67 goals per game, which is 17th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Jan Paul van Hecke, Yankuba Minteh, Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Maxim De Cuyper, Brajan Gruda, Matt O’Riley, James Milner and Charalampos Kostoulas with one goal apiece. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Leeds United Preview

Leeds United has 11 points this season, with a 3-4-2 record, and is sitting on the 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-1 home record and a 1-2-1 away record. Leeds United is coming off a 2-1 win against West Ham United at home, where they had 41% possession of the ball and 13 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.49 compared to West Ham United’s 0.65.

Leeds United is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.56 goals per game, which is 16th. Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor are Leeds United’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Lukas Nmecha with one goal apiece. Sean Longstaff is Leeds United’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Brighton will win

·        Brighton has won six of its last seven league home matches against Leeds.

·        Brighton has won six of its last seven league matches against Leeds at American Express Stadium.

·        Brighton has won four of its last five league Saturday day matches against Leeds.

·        Brighton has won 15 of its last 20 EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        Leeds has lost eight of its last nine EPL away matches.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last five EPL away matches following a league win.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last seven EPL matches as an away underdog.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 18 of Brighton’s last 20 EPL home matches against promoted teams.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Brighton’s last eight EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight league matches between Brighton and Leeds.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Leeds’ last 15 EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last four league home matches against Leeds.

Leeds United vs Brighton Prediction

In their last 6 meetings, Brighton has three wins and both teams had three draws. Under is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings. 

In this Leeds United vs Brighton Prediction, Brighton is coming as -115 home favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points and have exactly three wins this season. Brighton has back-to-back losses, while Leeds has been terrible on the road, with a 1-4 record in its last 5 road games. I see no value on either side, as both defenses have been terrible this season, ranking on the bottom-4 of the Premier League, allowing 3.23 goals per game combined. Take the over 2.5 goals in this one.