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Everton vs Burnley Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Everton Everton | Burnley Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-3-7 | 3-2-12 |
| Where | Turf Moor, Burnley | |
| When | Saturday, December 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Burnley Preview
Burnley has 11 points this season, with a 3-12-2 record, and are sitting in 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-7-0 home record and a 1-5-2 away record. Burnley is coming off a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth on the road, where they had 34% possession of the ball and 4 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 66% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.38 compared to Bournemouth’s 1.41.
Burnley is scoring 1.12 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.00 goals per game, which is 18th. Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming are Burnley’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Josh Cullen and Chimuanya Ugochukwu with 3 goals each, Maxime Esteve and Lyle Foster with 2 goals each and Oliver Sonne and Loum Tchaouna with 1 goal each. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Everton Preview
Everton has 24 points this season, with a 7-7-3 record, and are sitting in 10th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-3-1 home record and a 3-4-2 away record. Everton is coming off a 0-1 loss against Arsenal at home, where they had 35% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 74% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.20 compared to Arsenal’s 2.01.
Everton is scoring 1.06 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.18 goals per game, which is 6th. Iliman Ndiaye and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are Everton’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Michael Keane, Idrissa Gueye and Jack Grealish with 2 goals each and Beto Bercique, James Garner and Thiemo Barry with 1 goal each. Jack Grealish is Everton’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Burnley will win
· The home team has won three of the last four EPL matches between Burnley and Everton.
· Burnley has won each of its last three league home matches following a league draw.
· Burnley has won six of its last nine league Saturday day home matches.
· Everton has lost each of its last three EPL Saturday away matches.
· Everton has lost each of its last three EPL Saturday day away matches.
Why Everton will win
· The favorite has won seven of Burnley’s last eight EPL matches.
· The favorite has won each of the last four EPL matches between Burnley and Everton.
· The away team has won four of Everton’s last six EPL matches.
· Burnley has lost seven of its last eight EPL matches.
· Burnley has lost each of its last four EPL home matches.
· Burnley has lost five of its last six EPL day matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Burnley’s last eight EPL home matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Burnley’s last eight league matches as a home underdog.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Everton’s last five EPL away matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 20 of Everton’s last 25 EPL away matches.
Everton vs Burnley Prediction
Everton is 4-1 in its last 5 meetings against Burnley and the over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Everton vs Burnley Prediction, Everton is coming as -105 road favorites. Everton has been the better team this season as they have 13 more points than Burnley, who has been terrible this season, sitting on the second to last place of the league table. They have lost seven of their last 8 games and have lost four straight home games and are the third-worst team in the Premier League both offensively and defensively, so I expect the guests to get away with the win in this one. Take Everton on the moneyline on the road.
