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Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction 1/7/2026 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Chelsea Chelsea | Fulham Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-7-5 | 8-4-8 |
| Where | Craven Cottage, London | |
| When | Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:30 PM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Fulham Preview
Fulham has 28 points this season, with a 8-8-4 record, and are sitting in 11th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-3-2 home record and a 3-5-2 away record. Fulham is coming off a 2-2 draw against Liverpool at home, where they had 42% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.74 compared to Liverpool’s 1.37.
Fulham is scoring 1.40 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.45 goals per game, which is 14th. Harry Wilson is Fulham’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Raúl Jiménez with 4 goals, Emile Smith Rowe with 3 goals, Alex Iwobi, Rodrigo Muniz, Ryan Sessegnon and Samuel Chukwueze with 2 goals each and Kenny Tete with 1 goal. Harry Wilson and Samuel Chukwueze are Fulham’s top passers, with 4 assists each.
Chelsea Preview
Chelsea has 31 points this season, with a 8-5-7 record, and are sitting in 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-3-3 home record and a 4-2-2 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 1-1 draw against Manchester City on the road, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.85 compared to Manchester City’s 1.02.
Chelsea is scoring 1.67 goals per game, which ranks 4th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 2nd. Enzo Fernández and João Pedro are Chelsea’s top scorers with 6 goals each, followed by Pedro Neto with 5 goals, Cole Palmer, Trevoh Chalobah and Moisés Caicedo with 3 goals each and Reece James and Malo Gusto with 2 goals each. Reece James is Chelsea’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Fulham will win
· Chelsea has lost three of its last four EPL matches as a favorite following a league draw.
· Fulham has won four of its last five league Wednesday home matches.
· Fulham has won four of its last five league Wednesday night home matches.
· Fulham has won seven of its last nine league Wednesday matches.
Why Chelsea will win
· Chelsea has won six of its last seven EPL away matches against Fulham.
· Chelsea has won six of its last seven EPL matches against Fulham at Craven Cottage.
· Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL matches against Fulham.
· Fulham has lost each of its last three EPL Week 21 matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last three EPL matches as a favorite.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Chelsea’s last four EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Fulham’s last four EPL home matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 20 of Fulham’s last 28 EPL matches as a home underdog.
Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, Chelsea won 2-0 at home and is 4-1 in its last 5 meetings against Fulham. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction, Chelsea is coming as +115 road favorites. Both teams have exactly 8 overall wins this season and Chelsea has been winless in its last four games, while Fulham has been undefeated in its last four, so it looks like Chelsea is being overvalued in this spot. They might have been better both offensively and defensively this season, but given both teams’ current form, I like the value with the home dog in this matchup. Take Fulham by +0.5 goals in this one.
