Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction for this English Premier League Week 12 matchup on Saturday, November 22nd, at the Turf Moor Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Burnley Preview

Burnley has 10 points this season, with a 3-7-1 record, and are sitting on the 17th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-1 home record and a 1-5-0 away record. Burnley is coming off a 3-2 road defeat to West Ham, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.06 compared to West Ham’s 3.02.

Burnley is scoring 1.27 goals per game, which ranks 17th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.00 goals per game, which is 18th. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Josh Cullen and Zian Flemming with three goals apiece and Maxime Esteve, Lyle Foster and Chimuanya Ugochukwu with two goals apiece. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 20 points this season, with a 6-3-2 record, and are sitting on the 3rd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-1 home record and a 3-1-1 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 3-0 win against Wolverhampton Wanderers at home, where they had 64% possession of the ball and 20 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 3.31 compared to Wolverhampton Wanderers’s 0.17.

Chelsea is scoring 1.91 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 4th. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández and Moisés Caicedo with three goals apiece and Trevoh Chalobah with two goals. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Why Burnley will win

·        Burnley has won 10 of its last 14 league home matches.

·        The home team has won four of Burnley’s last six EPL matches.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won each of its last six EPL away matches against Burnley.

·        Chelsea has won each of its last six EPL matches against Burnley at Turf Moor.

·        Chelsea has won seven of its last eight EPL away matches against Burnley.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        The away team has won three of Chelsea’s last four EPL matches.

·        The favorite has won each of Chelsea’s last six EPL matches at Turf Moor.

·        The favorite has won seven of the last eight EPL matches between Burnley and Chelsea at Turf Moor.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last six EPL home matches against Chelsea.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Chelsea’s last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last five EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last four EPL matches as a home underdog.

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

In their last 11 meetings, Chelsea has 8 wins and three draws. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 meetings.

In this Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, Chelsea is coming as big road favorites. Chelsea has twice as many points as Burnley this season and have been very good on the road, with four wins in their last 5 road games across all competitions. Chelsea is also superior both offensively and defensively, as they are a top-4 team in the Premier League in both categories and have been dominating Burnley in recent years. I expect them to keep doing so today, so take Chelsea on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Chelsea ML