Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction 12/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 17 matchup on Saturday, December 20th, at the St. James’ Park Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United has 22 points this season, with a 6-6-4 record, and are sitting on the 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-2-0 home record and a 1-4-4 away record. Newcastle is coming off a 1-0 road defeat to Sunderland, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.24 compared to Sunderland’s 0.30.

Newcastle is scoring 1.31 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.25 goals per game, which is 10th. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães with five goals and Harvey Barnes with three goals. Bruno Guimarães, Lewis Miley and Dan Burn are Newcastle’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 28 points this season, with an 8-4-4 record, and are sitting on the 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-2-2 home record and a 4-2-2 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 2-0 win against Everton at home, where they had 58% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.20 compared to Everton’s 1.03.

Chelsea is scoring 1.75 goals per game, which ranks 4th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.94 goals per game, which is 3rd. Pedro Neto is Chelsea’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Enzo Fernández and João Pedro with four goals apiece and Trevoh Chalobah and Moisés Caicedo with three goals apiece. Pedro Neto, João Pedro and Reece James are Chelsea’s top passers, with 3 assists each.

Why Newcastle United will win

·        Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL matches at St. James’ Park following a league loss.

·        Newcastle United has won each of its last five EPL Saturday home matches.

·        Newcastle United has won three of its last four EPL Saturday matches as a home underdog.

·        The home team has won eight of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL matches.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL Saturday day matches against Newcastle United.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL Week 17 away matches.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL Saturday matches.

·        Chelsea has won four of its last five EPL matches against Newcastle United following a league win.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Newcastle United’s last nine EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last five EPL Week 17 matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Newcastle United’s last six EPL home matches.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 4-4-1 in their last 9 meetings and the both teams to score – yes is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Chelsea has been the better team this season but they are facing a Newcastle team that has been excellent at home, as they have 8 wins and one draw in their last 9 home games across all competitions. On the flip side, Chelsea has only one win in its last four games on the road and has lost its last four visits in St. James’ Park. I like the value with the home team in this matchup, so take Newcastle PK (Draw no Bet) in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Newcastle PK (Draw no Bet)