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Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction 12/20/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Burnley Burnley | Bournemouth Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1-12 | 5-6-5 |
| Where | Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth | |
| When | Saturday, December 20, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Bournemouth Preview
Bournemouth has 21 points this season, with a 5-6-6 record, and are sitting on the 13th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-0-3 home record and a 1-6-3 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 4-4 draw against Manchester United on the road, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 9 of them on target. They had 67% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.94 compared to Manchester United’s 3.40.
Bournemouth is scoring 1.81 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.00 goals per game, which is 17th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 7 goals, followed by Eli Junior Kroupi with five goals and Marcus Tavernier with four goals. Antoine Semenyo and Marcos Senesi are Bournemouth’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Burnley Preview
Burnley has 10 points this season, with a 3-12-1 record, and are sitting on the 19th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-2-3 home record and a 1-10-0 away record. Burnley is coming off a 3-2 home defeat to Fulham, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.45 compared to Fulham’s 2.23.
Burnley is scoring 1.25 goals per game, which ranks 19th in the Premier League, while allowing 2.19 goals per game, which is 19th. Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming are Burnley’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Josh Cullen and Chimuanya Ugochukwu with three goals apiece and Maxime Esteve and Lyle Foster with two goals apiece. Quilindschy Hartman is Burnley’s top passer, with 4 assists.
Why Bournemouth will win
· The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last seven EPL matches.
· Burnley has lost each of its last seven EPL matches.
· Burnley has lost eight of its last nine EPL away matches.
· Burnley has lost each of its last six EPL matches following a league loss.
· Burnley has lost eight of its last nine EPL away matches following a league loss.
Why Burnley will win
· The underdog has won three of Burnley’s last four EPL matches at Vitality Stadium.
· The underdog has won three of the last four EPL matches between Bournemouth and Burnley at Vitality Stadium.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Burnley’s last 11 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Burnley’s last 11 EPL matches as an away underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last 10 league away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last nine EPL away matches.
Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction
Both teams are tied 3-3 wins in their last 6 meetings and both teams to score – no is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction, Bournemouth is coming as -210 home favorites. Bournemouth has been the better team this season as they have more than twice as many points as Burnley so far. Burnley has been on a free fall lately, with seven consecutive losses but Bournemouth has not been much better, as they have been winless in their last seven games, having lost four of them. Laying -210 on a team that has been struggling mightily lately so not wise, so I expect the guests to keep this somewhat close. Take Burnley by +1.5 goals in this one.
