Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City Prediction 1/7/2026 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction for this English Premier League Week 21 matchup on Wednesday, January 7th, at the Etihad Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 42 points this season, with a 13-4-3 record, and are sitting in 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 8-1-1 home record and a 5-3-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 1-1 draw against Chelsea at home, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.02 compared to Chelsea’s 1.85.

Manchester City is scoring 2.21 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 0.95 goals per game, which is 2nd. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 19 goals, followed by Phil Foden with 7 goals, Tijani Reijnders with 5 goals, Rúben Dias, Ryan Cherki and Joško Gvardiol with 2 goals each and Jeremy Doku and Nico González with 1 goal each. Ryan Cherki is Manchester City’s top passer, with 7 assists.

Brighton Preview

Brighton has 28 points this season, with a 7-6-7 record, and are sitting in 10th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 6-4-0 home record and a 2-2-5 away record. Brighton is coming off a 2-0 win against Burnley at home, where they had 60% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.45 compared to Burnley’s 0.30.

Brighton is scoring 1.58 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.37 goals per game, which is 12th. Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top scorer with 8 goals, followed by Jan Paul van Hecke with 4 goals, Georginio Rutter and Diego Gómez with 3 goals each, Yasin Ayari and Maxim De Cuyper with 2 goals each and Bart Verbruggen and Yankuba Minteh with 1 goal each. Yankuba Minteh is Brighton’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won each of its last 22 EPL Wednesday home matches.

·        Manchester City has won 23 of its last 24 EPL Wednesday home matches.

·        Manchester City has won 31 of its last 33 EPL Wednesday matches.

·        Manchester City has won eight of its last nine EPL home matches.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last four EPL Week 21 home matches.

·        Manchester City has won eight of its last nine EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The favorite has won eight of Manchester City’s last nine EPL matches at Etihad Stadium.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 EPL matches between Manchester City and Brighton.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Manchester City and Brighton.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Brighton’s last 14 EPL matches as an away underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Manchester City’s last six EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Manchester City’s last 11 EPL matches.

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Brighton won 2-1 at home and both teams are a balanced 2-2-2 in their last six meetings. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.  

In this Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -255 home favorites. Manchester City has been the better team this season as they have 14 more points and 8 more wins than Brighton. They have won 8 of their last 10 games and have the best offense and the second-best defense in the Premier League. I simply cannot go against this Manchester City squad, especially at home, and not when Brighton is just 2-2-5 on the road this season. Take the home team to win this one comfortably, so take Manchester City by -1.5 goals. 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester City -1.5