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Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction 11/23/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Aston Villa Aston Villa | Leeds United Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-3-3 | 3-2-6 |
| Where | Elland Road, Leeds | |
| When | Sunday, November 23, 2025 | |
| Time | 09:00 AM EST | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Leeds United Preview
Leeds United has 11 points this season, with a 3-6-2 record, and are sitting on the 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-2 home record and a 1-5-0 away record. Leeds is coming off a 3-1 road defeat to Nottingham Forest, where they had 55% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.69 compared to Nottingham Forest’s 2.55.
Leeds is scoring 0.91 goals per game, which ranks 16th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.82 goals per game, which is 17th. Joe Rodon, Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor are Leeds’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Sean Longstaff, Brenden Aaronson and Dominic Calvert-Lewin with one goal apiece. Sean Longstaff is Leeds’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Aston Villa Preview
Aston Villa has 18 points this season, with a 5-3-3 record, and are sitting on the 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-1 home record and a 1-2-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 4-0 win against Bournemouth at home, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 78% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.69 compared to Bournemouth’s 1.61.
Aston Villa is scoring 1.18 goals per game, which ranks 6th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.91 goals per game, which is 6th. Emi Buendía and Donyell Malen are Aston Villa’s top scorers with 3 goals each, followed by Matty Cash with two goals and John McGinn, Ollie Watkins, Amadou Onana, Morgan Rogers and Ross Barkley with one goal apiece. Lucas Digne is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Why Leeds United will win
· The home team has won each of Leeds’ last four EPL matches.
· The home team has won five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL matches.
· The home team has won each of Aston Villa’s last three EPL matches.
· Leeds has won each of its last three league Sunday matches at Elland Road.
· Leeds has won 19 of its last 25 league home matches.
Why Aston Villa will win
· Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL day matches.
· Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL Sunday matches.
· Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL Sunday day matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last seven EPL Sunday matches.
· Leeds has lost each of its last seven EPL Sunday day matches.
· Leeds has lost 10 of its last 11 EPL Sunday matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last six EPL day matches at Elland Road.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 15 of Leeds’ last 17 EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Leeds’ last four EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Leeds’ last seven EPL matches.
Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction
Villa has three wins and two draws in its last 5 meetings against Leeds and both teams to score – no is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Aston Villa vs Leeds United Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as road favorites. Villa has been the better team this season but they have been struggling on the road, with just one win in five road games. They have been in good form lately, with an 8-2 record in their last 10 overall games across all competitions, but Leeds has been undefeated in 11 of its last 12 home games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are having trouble to score, as they average 2.09 goals per game combined this season, with Villa also having the 6th-best defense in the Premier League. Take the under in this one.
