Aug 3, 2024; Columbia, South Carolina, USA; Liverpool midfielder Tyler Morton (80) kicks the ball past Manchester United defender Sam Murray (61) in the second half at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-Imagn Images

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United Prediction 8/17/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

Arsenal FC (0-0-0) vs Manchester United (0-0-0)

August 17, 2025 at 11:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Manchester United +260 / Arsenal -105 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 1 game on Sunday, August 17th, at the Old Trafford. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester United Preview

Manchester United finished last season with 42 points and were placed 15th in the Premier League standings. Manchester United had a 11-18-9 record last season and had a 7-9-3 home record. Manchester United is coming off a 2-2 home draw against Everton in the Premier League Summer Series. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games.

Manchester United scored 1.16 goals per game last season, while allowing 1.42 goals per game. Bruno Fernandes and Amad Diallo Traoré were the top scorers for Manchester United last season with 8 total goals apiece. Bruno Fernandes was also the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal last season with 74 points and were placed second in the Premier League standings. Arsenal had a 20-4-14 record this season, while having a 9-2-8 road record. They are coming off a 3-0 home victory over Athletic Bilbao for the Emirates Cup. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Arsenal scored 1.82 goals per game last season, while allowing 0.89 goals per game. Kai Havertz was the top scorer for Arsenal last season with 9 goals, while Leandro Trossard and Gabriel Martinelli followed with 8 goals apiece. Bukayo Saka was the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Why Manchester United will win

  • Manchester United has won seven of its last eight EPL Week 1 home matches.
  • The underdog has won each of Manchester United’s last three EPL matches at Old Trafford.
  • The home team has won six of the last eight EPL matches between Manchester United and Arsenal.

Why Arsenal will win

  • Arsenal has won four of its last five EPL matches against Manchester United.
  • Arsenal has won six of its last eight EPL day matches against Manchester United.
  • Arsenal has won four of its last five EPL Sunday matches.
  • Arsenal has won each of its last three EPL Week 1 matches.
  • Manchester United has lost four of its last six EPL day matches.
  • The favorite has won four of the last five EPL matches between Manchester United and Arsenal.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of the last six EPL day matches between Manchester United and Arsenal.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Manchester United’s last four EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has hit in six of Arsenal’s last seven EPL Sunday away matches.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester United’s last six EPL Sunday home matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Arsenal’s last six EPL matches.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Manchester United’s last six EPL matches.

Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1-1 in their three meetings last season, and had a 1-1 draw in their only meeting in Manchester. Arsenal is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings against United, and both teams are tied 2-2-3 in their last seven meetings in Manchester. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Arsenal vs Manchester United, Arsenal is coming as -105 road favorites. Manchester is coming off one of their worst seasons in recent years, as they finished just three places above the relegation zone. On the flip side, Arsenal is coming off a terrific season, finishing second in the Premier League. As much as I don’t like to side with Manchester United in this spot, they are playing their home opener after a disappointing season, so they will want to give everything to their fans. Arsenal has not exactly dominated United in Manchester, so I will lean towards the hosts to keep this one close. Take Manchester United by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester United +0.5

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

    September 14, 2025

  • Sofia Kenin vs Laura Siegemund Prediction 9/15/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 15, 2025

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans Prediction 9/15/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 15, 2025

  • Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 9/15/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 15, 2025