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Arsenal FC vs Chelsea Prediction 11/30/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arsenal FC Arsenal FC | Chelsea Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-2-1 | 7-2-3 |
| Where | Stamford Bridge, London | |
| When | Sunday, November 30, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:30 AM EST | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Chelsea Preview
Chelsea has 23 points this season, with a 7-3-2 record, and is sitting on the 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-1 home record and a 4-1-1 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 2-0 win against Burnley on the road, where they had 56% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.71 compared to Burnley’s 0.44.
Chelsea is scoring 1.92 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.92 goals per game, which is 6th. Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernández and João Pedro are Chelsea’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Moisés Caicedo with three goals and Trevoh Chalobah with two goals. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Arsenal Preview
Arsenal has 29 points this season, with a 9-1-2 record, and is sitting on the 1st place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-1-0 home record and a 4-1-1 away record. Arsenal is coming off a 4-1 win against Tottenham Hotspur at home, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.92 compared to Tottenham Hotspur’s 0.07.
Arsenal is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 0.50 goals per game, which is 1st. Eberechi Eze and Viktor Gyökeres are Arsenal’s top scorers with 4 goals each, followed by Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard with three goals apiece and Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice and Jurriën Timber with two goals apiece. Leandro Trossard and Declan Rice are Arsenal’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Why Chelsea will win
· The underdog has won three of Chelsea’s last four EPL matches at Stamford Bridge.
· Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL matches.
· Chelsea has won each of its last three EPL matches.
· Chelsea has won five of its last six EPL matches.
· Chelsea has won 11 of its last 15 EPL home matches.
Why Arsenal will win
· Arsenal has won each of its last five EPL day matches.
· Arsenal has won six of its last seven EPL matches.
· Arsenal has won four of its last five EPL Week 13 away matches.
· Arsenal has won six of its last seven EPL day matches.
· Arsenal has won four of its last five EPL matches following a league win.
· Chelsea has lost each of its last five EPL matches as an underdog following a league win.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Chelsea’s last four EPL home matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Chelsea’s last six EPL Sunday matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Chelsea’s last nine EPL matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Arsenal’s last four EPL day matches as a favorite.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Chelsea’s last 19 EPL home matches.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Arsenal’s last six EPL matches.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Arsenal has 5 wins and two draws in its last 7 meetings against Chelsea and both teams to score – yes is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Stamford Bridge.
In this Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Arsenal is coming as +118 road favorites. Arsenal has been the better team this season, as they sit atop of the Premier League standings and have been very strong on the road, with 4 wins in 6 road games. But Chelsea has been red-hot lately, as they have lost only once in their last 11 games, having won outright 9 of them. Both teams are coming off mid-week games for the Champions League so there will be tired legs and the chance of a draw is very high. I expect the hosts to keep this one close, so take Chelsea by +0.5 goals in this one.
