Arsenal FC vs Burnley Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction for this English Premier League Week 10 matchup on Saturday, November 1st, at the Turf Moor Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Burnley Preview

Burnley has 10 points this season, with a 3-5-1 record, and are sitting on the 16th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-1 home record and a 1-0-4 away record. Burnley is coming off a 3-2 win against Wolves on the road, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 1.43 compared to Wolves’ 2.28.

Burnley is scoring 1.33 goals per game, which ranks 11th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.89 goals per game, which is 19th. Jaidon Anthony is Burnley’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Lyle Foster, Lesley Ugochukwu and Zian Flemming with 2, and Josh Cullen and Loum Tchaouna with one goal apiece. Josh Cullen is Burnley’s top passer, with 1 assist.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal has 22 points this season, with a 7-1-1 record, and are sitting on the 1st place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-0 home record and a 3-0-1 away record. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 win against Crystal Palace at home, where they had 60% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 0.91 compared to Crystal Palace’s 0.45.

Arsenal is scoring 1.78 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.33 goals per game, which is 1st. Viktor Gyökeres is Arsenal’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Bukayo Saka, Martín Zubimendi and Jurriën Timber with 2, and Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Declan Rice, Leandro Trossard, Eberechi Eze, Mikel Merino and Gabriel Martinelli with one goal apiece. Declan Rice is Arsenal’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Burnley will win

·        Burnley has won seven of its last eight league day matches following a league win.

·        Burnley has won five of its last six league matches following a league win.

Why Arsenal will win

·        Arsenal has won each of its last 16 EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Arsenal has won each of its last 13 EPL matches against promoted teams.

·        Arsenal has won 10 of its last 11 EPL away matches against promoted teams.

·        Arsenal has won each of its last four EPL matches.

·        Arsenal has won each of its last six EPL matches as an away favorite against promoted teams.

·        Arsenal has won five of its last six EPL matches.

·        Burnley has lost each of its last three EPL home matches following a league win.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last four EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Burnley’s last four league matches as a home underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Arsenal’s last six EPL away matches against promoted teams.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Arsenal’s last five EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Arsenal’s last four EPL away matches.

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction

In their last 5 meetings, Arsenal has three wins and two draws. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, Arsenal is coming as huge -360 road favorites. Arsenal has been unstoppable this season and are sitting on the top of the Premier League standings, and have been red-hot lately, with 8 consecutive wins across all competitions. They have the third-best offense and the best defense, allowing just 0.33 goals per game. Burnley is having a good campaign so far, but they have 5 losses in their last 8 overall games and two losses in their last 4 at home. Arsenal is not matchup for a Premier League newcomer at this point and I expect them to dominate this game. Take Arsenal by -1.5 goals in this one.