Texas vs LSU Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Texas vs LSU Prediction

I’ll take a stab on Texas, but you could call this one either way. We should have a pretty great matchup on our hands here. The Longhorns took care of a very good Missouri team on the road in their last outing, posting 401 total yards with 21 first downs, 6-of-13 on third downs and a couple of lost fumbles. On defense Texas gave up 336 yards and 17 first downs while holding strong on third-down conversions very well (3-of-16). The Longhorns are cooking right now with three straight wins, two versus ranked teams. Texas has scored 31 or more points in all three of those.

As for LSU, they hit the wall in the fourth quarter versus Alabama and ended up taking a 31-13 loss last weekend. The Tigers posted 27 first downs and 457 yards but went just 5-of-14 on third downs and had a couple of turnovers. LSU’s defense gave up 285 yards with 13 first downs and 3-of-11 on third-down conversions but didn’t have a takeaway. The Tigers’ 13 points were their lowest total of the season. This weekend’s matchup could break a lot of different ways, but it’ll be one of the weekend’s highlights regardless.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Texas Longhorns and the LSU Tigers meet Saturday in college football action from Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Texas vs LSU prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Texas vs LSU pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Longhorns opened up the year on a nice four-game win streak. Those victories came courtesy of Texas State, Ohio State, UTSA and Tennessee. Texas would lose consecutive games after that, falling to Oklahoma and Florida, each by a 27-24 margin. Since then it’s been three straight wins however, as the Longhorns have dispatched Ole Miss, Mississippi State and Missouri in succession. That gives the team a 7-2 overall record this year.

Last weekend versus Missouri, the Longhorns bagged a touchdown in the first quarter and a field goal in the second for a 10-10 halftime tie. In the second half, Texas scored three more touchdowns on the way to a nice 34-20 road win. QB Arch Manning had a 28-of-38 line for 297 yards and three scores. Raleek Brown carried 17 times for 85 yards and a score while Emmett Mosley had five catches for 85 yards.

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the LSU side, they opened up the year with consecutive wins over Clemson and Louisiana Tech. The Tigers then fell to Ole Miss before wins over Texas A&M and McNeese. Since then it’s been a 2-2 run with wins over Mississippi State and Auburn in between losses to Kentucky and Alabama. Across the first nine games of the season that gives LSU a 6-3 record in the books.

Matched up against Alabama last weekend, the Tigers could only muster a field goal in the first half for a 10-3 deficit at the break. LSU took the lead in the third 13-10 but got blanked the rest of the way in a 31-13 loss. QB Sam Leavitt was 35-of-47 for 380 yards and a pick. Dilin Jones added 17 carries for 56 yards and a TD. Jackson Harris led the receivers on 11 catches for 166 yards.

Texas Longhorns @ LSU Tigers Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the LSU Tigers will win

• LSU has won 22 of its last 25 games as an AP-ranked team at Tiger Stadium.
• Texas has lost seven of its last eight November games as a road underdog.
• LSU has covered the spread in 13 of its last 15 games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
• Texas has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Texas has lost the first half in each of its last four games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won 13 of its last 14 November games as an AP-ranked team.
• LSU has lost each of its last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• LSU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Texas has covered the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• LSU has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas’ last seven November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of LSU’s last nine games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.

LSU Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Sam Leavitt has recorded 30+ completions in three consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 11.

Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Colin Simmons leads the Southeastern Conference for sacks (10.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• LSU has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
• LSU has recorded the most home wins by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
• Texas ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
• Texas ranks T10th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.0).

Andrew Jett's Pick: Texas Longhorns +3.5