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Pick details
| MATCHUP | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Oklahoma State Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-1 | 6-3 |
| Spread | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +142 | -170 |
| Total | Over 72.5 (-115) | Under 72.5 (-105) |
| Where | Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction
In this Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Oklahoma State is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Texas Tech has a better record this season, having lost only once in their nine games played and are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games, while Oklahoma State is just 2-2 in its last 4 games but 7-1 against the spread in its last 8. They have an elite offense, scoring almost 44 points per game, which is the best in the entire country, while Texas Tech has been better on the defensive end, but both teams are averaging 81.5 points per game offensively and are 13-1 to the over in their last 14 games combined. The total is set at a huge 72.5 points and for a reason. I will still go over that number in this one.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview
Oklahoma State has a 6-3 record and a 4-2 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 66-28 road win against Kansas State, following a 49-51 road loss against Iowa State and a 57-24 home win against Colorado, and will face Arizona State and Kansas next.
Offensively, Oklahoma State averages 43.9 points per game, while defensively, they allow 27.2 points per game. Oklahoma State averages 533.6 total yards per game (339.1 passing and 194.4 rushing), while allowing 384 total yards per game (151.3 rushing and 232.7 passing). They average 71.4 plays per game and 7.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 68.1 plays per game and 5.6 yards per play on defense. Oklahoma State averages 26.4 first downs per game on offense and 19 first downs per game on defense.
Drew Mestemaker leads Oklahoma State with 2,962 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and 29 touchdowns. Caleb Hawkins leads the team in rushing yards with 1,081, while Justin Bowick has a team-high 790 receiving yards and 44 receptions. Defensively, Ethan Wesloski has a team-high 81 total tackles (34 of them solo), also adding a team-high 4 sacks.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
Texas Tech has an 8-1 record and a 5-1 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 53-48 home win against West Virginia, following a 34-26 home win against Arizona and a 24-37 road loss against Cincinnati, and will face Baylor and TCU next.
Offensively, Texas Tech averages 37.6 points per game, while defensively, they allow 24.1 points per game. Texas Tech averages 449.3 total yards per game (234.7 passing and 214.7 rushing), while allowing 402.3 total yards per game (115.3 rushing and 287 passing). They average 70 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 71.6 plays per game and 5.6 yards per play on defense. Texas Tech averages 22.4 first downs per game on offense and 19.2 first downs per game on defense.
Will Hammond leads Texas Tech with 1,561 passing yards with 67.8% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. J’Koby Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 954, while Kenny Johnson has a team-high 632 receiving yards and 40 receptions. Defensively, Austin Romaine has a team-high 81 total tackles (42 of them solo), while A.J. Holmes Jr. leads the team with 7.5 sacks.
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win
- Oklahoma State has won each of its last three games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Boone Pickens Stadium.
- Texas Tech has lost 20 of its last 25 games against teams from Oklahoma.
- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in each of its last six games at Boone Pickens Stadium.
- The favorite has won the first half in four of the last five games between Texas Tech and Oklahoma State.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last seven games in November.
- Oklahoma State has lost nine of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas Tech has covered the spread in each of its last six road games against Oklahoma State.
- Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as a home favorite.
- Oklahoma State has lost the first half in 11 of its last 12 home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oklahoma State’s last six games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Drew Mestemaker ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (29) this season.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, J’Koby Williams ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oklahoma State ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (23.0).
- Oklahoma State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (533.6).
- Texas Tech ranks 2nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+7.4).
- Texas Tech ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (27.3).
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Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Over 72.5
