Nov 7, 2026; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA;  Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Faizon Brandon (11) carries the ball against the Kentucky Wildcats during the second half at Neyland Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-Imagn Images
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Tennessee vs Texas A&M Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Tennessee vs Texas A&M Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Tennessee Volunteers Texas A&M Aggies
Team Records 7-2 4-5
Spread -2.5 -115 +2.5 -105
Moneyline -135 +114
Total Over 44.5 (-105) Under 44.5 (-115)
Where Kyle Field, College Station, TX
When Saturday, November 14, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

Tennessee vs Texas A&M Prediction

Texas A&M comes into this matchup with only one conference win, but they are at home and have the chance for a great win here. The Aggies have scored 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games, but their defense hasn’t been too bad. Tennessee is ranked #8 in the country, but they have looked shaky in their last two road games against South Carolina and Arkansas. I think this is going to be an extremely tough game for Tennessee and I like Texas A&M to get the win at home.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 7-2 (4-2) this season after they defeated Kentucky by a score of 34-6 in their last game. Tennessee led 10-6 at halftime and they won the second half 24-0 in the lopsided win. The Volunteers out gained Kentucky by a total of 389-361, went 5-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. George MacIntyre threw for 125 yards, while DeSean Bishop rushed 25 times for 109 yards and two scores. Braylon Staley caught four passes for 50 yards in the win.

Prior to that game, Tennessee lost to South Carolina by a score of 27-24, but did defeat Alabama by a score of 26-10 before that. The Volunteers have scored 32.4 points per game with 177.9 passing yards and 216.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 15.1 points against per game this season. George MacIntyre has thrown for 853 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions, while DeSean Bishop has rushed 196 times for 1,066 yards and 13 scores. Mike Matthews has led the receivers with 37 catches for 566 yards and four touchdowns this season.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies are 4-5 (1-5) this year after they lost to South Carolina by a score of 17-9 last week. Texas A&M took a 9-7 lead in the third quarter, but they were out scored 10-0 in the fourth for the loss. The Aggies out gained South Carolina by a total of 457-360, went 9-19 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Marcel Reed threw for 251 yards, while Isaiah Horton caught five passes for 78 yards. Rueben Owens II rushed 19 times for 137 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Texas A&M lost to Alabama by a score of 31-20, but did beat The Citadel by a score of 41-0 before that. The Aggies have scored 26.1 points per game with 198.2 passing yards and 161.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.7 points against per game this season. Marcel Reed has thrown for 1,641 yards with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, while Isaiah Horton has caught 28 passes for 392 yards and three scores. Rueben Owens II has rushed 97 times for 469 yards and one touchdown this year.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won 16 of its last 18 home games in November.
  • Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
2026 college football handicapper records, ranked by profit ($100 base bet).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit
1Ron Romanelli472565.28%+1896
2Big Al McMordie755557.69%+1444
3Sean Murphy503459.52%+1281
4Hunter Fogarty452960.81%+1237
5Brad Francis543759.34%+1185

See the full rankings: Best College Football Handicappers

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Tennessee’s last four games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of Texas A&M’s last six games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, David Olano leads the Southeastern Conference for field goals made (16) this season.

Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Dejuan Lane ranks T6th amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.8).
  • Texas A&M ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (4.6).
  • Tennessee ranks 3rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (96.7).
  • Tennessee ranks T5th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.2).

Positive Trends

As you can see in the trends above, we don’t have a ton of angles supporting us, but I am still going with A&M. The Aggies have won 16 of their last 18 home games in November and Tennessee has struggled to cover as a top ranked team in recent history. If the game remains close in the second half, the Aggies have been great in points against per game in the fourth quarter. Take Texas A&M here.

David Racey's Pick: Texas A&M ML

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