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| MATCHUP | Sacramento State Hornets | Central Michigan Chippewas |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-8 | 4-5 |
| Spread | +18.5 -115 | -18.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +675 | -1050 |
| Total | Over 43.5 (-115) | Under 43.5 (-105) |
| Where | Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI | |
| When | Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPNU | |
Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Prediction
Central Michigan is obviously the more talented team, but this is a lot of points for a team that is limited offensively. Central Michigan is 130th in total offense, 134th in passing offense, and 124th in scoring offense. It’s not the type of unit I’m excited to lay three touchdowns with. Sacramento State is getting more and more comfortable in the FBS ranks, and that includes nearly upsetting Toledo last week as a 25.5-point underdog.
Sacramento State has covered its last two games. Sacramento State is bad on both sides of the ball, but the play has improved lately, and this is clearly a more confident team as the season plays out. Again, Central Michigan doesn’t have the offense to be a three-touchdown favorite. I want the points with Sacramento State on Wednesday night.
Sacramento State Betting Preview
Sacramento State beat Kent State, lost to Toledo, and they play Hawaii next. Sacramento State has lost 7 of their last 8 games. Sacramento State is 0-4 SU on the road, 2-4 SU at home, and 4-6 ATS on the season. Jackson Sharman is completing 56 percent of his passes for 1,476 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Sharman has been sacked 16 times this season. Matt Coleman has 538 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns on 46 receptions. Onterrio Smith Jr. has 413 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 37 receptions. Raiden Brown has 326 receiving yards on 29 receptions.
Sacramento State averages 97.6 rushing yards, and Isaiah Ene leads the team with 411 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Sacramento State is allowing 29.3 points and 356.4 total yards per game. Sacramento State has forced 6 turnovers. Boogsie Silvera leads Sacramento State with 78 tackles. Miles Bailey leads Sacramento State with 2 sacks. Donovan Turner leads Sacramento State with 1 interception.
Central Michigan Betting Preview
Central Michigan beat Eastern Michigan, lost to Miami OH, and they play Buffalo next. Central Michigan has lost 4 of their last 5 games. Central Michigan is 0-3 SU on the road, 3-2 SU at home, and 5-4 ATS on the season. Jadyn Glasser is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 639 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Luster has been sacked 14 times this season. Langston Lewis has 379 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 24 receptions. Justin Ruffin Jr. has 119 receiving yards on 15 receptions. Nasir Williams has 1117 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 11 receptions.
Central Michigan averages 176.6 rushing yards, and Angel Flores leads the team with 618 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing 23.8 points and 338.6 total yards per game. Central Michigan has forced 5 turnovers. Mayson Hitchens leads Ball State with 68 tackles. Jaxon Cherry leads Central Michigan with 3 sacks. Justin Taylor leads Central Michigan with 3 interceptions.
Why the Central Michigan Chippewas will win
- Central Michigan has won each of its last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Sacramento State has lost seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Central Michigan has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents at Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
- Sacramento State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Sacramento State has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- Central Michigan has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Central Michigan’s last six November games at Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Central Michigan Chippewas Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Langston Lewis leads Central Michigan in receptions (24) this season.
Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Carson Conklin has the most passing yards without a passing touchdown this season (222).
Matchup/League Facts
- Central Michigan ranks T133rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.0).
- Central Michigan ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (305.6).
- Sacramento State has recorded fewer total yards than its opponents in each of its last eight games- the longest active streak in the FBS.
- Sacramento State ranks 136th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (7.9).
