Pick details
| MATCHUP | North Dakota State Bison | UNLV Runnin Rebels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Spread | -3 -118 | +3 -102 |
| Moneyline | -162 | +136 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-115) | Under 47.5 (-105) |
| Where | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Saturday, October 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CW | |
UNLV Rebels Preview
UNLV has a 3-2 record and are coming off a 39-31 home win against California. They will face Air Force and Northern Illinois next. Offensively, UNLV averages 25 points per game, ranking 93rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.6 points per game, which is 73rd. UNLV averages 392.6 total yards per game (214.4 passing and 178.2 rushing), while allowing 384.2 total yards per game (134.4 rushing and 249.8 passing).
Jackson Arnold leads UNLV with 1,063 passing yards with 59.4% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Jai’Den Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 383, while Tastean Reddicks has a team-high 14 receptions for 272 receiving yards. Defensively, Jake Pope has a team-high 36 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Tre Fulton leads the team with 3.5 sacks.
North Dakota State Bison Preview
North Dakota State has a 5-0 record and are coming off a 28-0 home win against Wyoming. They will face Nevada and New Mexico next. Offensively, North Dakota State averages 33.6 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 9.8 points per game, which is 2nd. North Dakota State averages 377.8 total yards per game (206.8 passing and 171 rushing), while allowing 236.2 total yards per game (102.2 rushing and 134 passing).
Nathan Hayes leads North Dakota State with 995 passing yards with 64.7% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. DJ Scott leads the team in rushing yards with 298, while Jackson Williams has a team-high 22 receptions for 358 receiving yards. Defensively, Donovan Woolen has a team-high 33 total tackles (19 of them solo), while Kelton McCaslin leads the team with 3 sacks.
North Dakota State Bison @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the UNLV Rebels will win
- UNLV has won five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of UNLV’s last eight games at Allegiant Stadium.
- UNLV has won the first half in four of its last five games.
- UNLV has won the first quarter in three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
Why the North Dakota State Bison will win
- UNLV has lost each of its last 14 October games as an underdog.
- North Dakota State has won each of its last five games.
- UNLV has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games in October.
- The favorite has covered the spread in three of UNLV’s last four games.
- North Dakota State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games.
- North Dakota State has won the first half in each of its last five games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Six of UNLV’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of North Dakota State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jackson Arnold is one of only six players in the FBS to record 1,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season.
North Dakota State Bison Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Drew Klein ranks T8th amongst FBS players for made field goals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UNLV ranks T130th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (66.7).
- UNLV ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.0).
- North Dakota State ranks T1st among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (9.8).
- North Dakota State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
North Dakota State vs UNLV Prediction
In this North Dakota State vs UNLV prediction, North Dakota State is coming as -3 road favorites. North Dakota State has been undefeated this season and have allowed just 10 points combined in their last two games. They have the second-best defense in the entire country and a +23.8 point differential, while UNLV has allowed 75 points combined in two of its last three games. The number is small, so lay the -3 on the road with North Dakota State in this one.
