Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame Prediction

In this Miami (FL) vs Notre Dame prediction, Notre Dame is coming as -5.5 home favorites. This is a high-caliber clash between two of the best teams currently in the country, as Miami is the number one ranked team and Notre Dame is #4. Miami has been undefeated this season but has failed to cover two of its last three games and Notre Dame has lost only once this season but struggling to cover spreads lately, as it is 1-3 against the spread in its last 4 games. While I find value with the road dog in this matchup, as Miami has the best offense in the country and scores 7.2 points per game more than Notre Dame, I like the total in this game more, as both teams average a whopping 88 points per game combined this season and as good as both defenses have been, those two offenses look unstoppable, as it is indicated in the 11-1 to the over those two teams have in their last 12 games combined. Take the over 54.5 points in this one.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview

Notre Dame has a 7-1 record and Rank 4th in the Current AP poll. They are coming off a 35-13 home win against Navy and will face Boston College and SMU next.

Offensively, Notre Dame averages 40.4 points per game, ranking 6th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13.4 points per game, which is 5th. Notre Dame averages 442.8 total yards per game (256.8 passing and 186.0 rushing), while allowing 236.3 total yards per game (85.4 rushing and 150.9 passing). They average 67.1 plays per game and 6.6 yards per play on offense, while allowing 54.9 plays per game and 4.3 yards per play on defense. Notre Dame averages 22.8 first downs per game on offense and 14.4 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.3 times per game and are forcing 2.0 turnovers per game.

CJ Carr leads Notre Dame with 1,849 passing yards with 66.7% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Nolan James Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 519, while Jordan Faison has a team-high 497 receiving yards and 38 receptions. Defensively, Drayk Bowen has a team-high 45 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Boubacar Traore leads the team with 3.5 sacks.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes Preview

Miami has an 8-0 record and a 6-0 record in the ACC and Rank 1st in the Current AP poll. They are coming off a 38-35 road win against North Carolina and will face Duke and Virginia Tech next.

Offensively, Miami averages 47.6 points per game, ranking 1st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 17.8 points per game, which is 21st. Miami averages 534.9 total yards per game (332.4 passing and 202.5 rushing), while allowing 312.6 total yards per game (60.8 rushing and 251.9 passing). They average 69.3 plays per game and 7.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 61.1 plays per game and 5.1 yards per play on defense. Miami averages 28.0 first downs per game on offense and 17.1 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.4 times per game and are forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.

Darian Mensah leads Miami with 2,425 passing yards with 80.7% completed passes and 25 touchdowns. Javian Mallory leads the team in rushing yards with 495, while Malachi Toney has a team-high 1,027 receiving yards and 73 receptions. Defensively, Mohamed Toure has a team-high 44 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Marquise Lightfoot leads the team with 7.0 sacks.

Miami Hurricanes @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Notre Dame has won each of its last 19 November games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
• Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three November road games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
• Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last 13 games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference at Notre Dame Stadium.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games in November.
• Miami (FL) has lost the first half in three of its last four games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-5 AP-ranked team.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last eight games.
• Notre Dame has lost three of its last four games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team at Notre Dame Stadium.
• Miami (FL) has covered the spread in each of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
• Notre Dame has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Notre Dame has lost the first half in each of its last four games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Notre Dame’s last six games as a favorite against teams from Florida have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Miami (FL)’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, CJ Carr ranks T2nd in the league for TD:INT ratio (18.00) this season.

Miami Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Darian Mensah ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (202.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Notre Dame ranks 138th among FBS teams for sacks this season (2.0).
• Notre Dame has recorded more total yards than its opponents in each of its last 18 games – longest active streak in the FBS.
• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (16.5).
• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (26.9).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 54.5