Georgia State vs Appalachian State Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Georgia State vs Appalachian State Prediction

In this Georgia State vs Appalachian State prediction, Appalachian State is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Appalachian State has a better record this season, they have lost only once at home and have been in better form lately, having won two of their last three games. On the flip side, Georgia State has been struggling with three straight defeats, where they failed to cover the spread in all three, having allowed 118 total points in that span. Appalachian State also has an excellent history against Georgia State, having won all of their last ten head-to-head meetings and are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 meetings, so I like the value with the home team in this one. Take Appalachian State and lay the -5.5 points.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Preview

Appalachian State has a 5-3 record and a 2-2 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 19-3 road win against Georgia Southern and will face Marshall and UL Monroe next.

Offensively, Appalachian State averages 26.8 points per game, ranking 80th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.6 points per game, which is 55th. Appalachian State averages 389.8 total yards per game (263.4 passing and 126.4 rushing), while allowing 371.1 total yards per game (127.6 rushing and 243.5 passing). They average 66.8 plays per game and 5.8 yards per play on offense, while allowing 71.0 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on defense. Appalachian State averages 20.6 first downs per game on offense and 19.5 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.3 times per game and are forcing 1.5 turnovers per game.

Malachi Singleton leads Appalachian State with 1,915 passing yards with 65.0% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Jaquari Lewis leads the team in rushing yards with 431, while Samuel Pickett III has a team-high 560 receiving yards and 36 receptions. Defensively, Colton Phares has a team-high 63 total tackles (32 of them solo), while Caleb Sandstrom leads the team with 5.0 sacks.

Georgia State Panthers Preview

Georgia State has a 4-4 record and a 1-3 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 31-20 home loss against Coastal Carolina and will face Georgia Southern and Marshall nextz.

Offensively, Georgia State averages 33.9 points per game, ranking 32nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.6 points per game, which is 92nd. Georgia State averages 438.1 total yards per game (238.5 passing and 199.6 rushing), while allowing 358.0 total yards per game (139.8 rushing and 218.3 passing). They average 68.1 plays per game and 6.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.9 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on defense. Georgia State averages 22.1 first downs per game on offense and 18.6 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.6 times per game and are forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.

Cameran Brown leads Georgia State with 1,356 passing yards with 66.3% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Qwantavius Wiggins leads the team in rushing yards with 446, while Rodshaun Dorsey has a team-high 459 receiving yards and 28 receptions. Defensively, Jaydon Hood has a team-high 49 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Xavier Esqillion leads the team with 7.0 sacks.

Georgia State Panthers @ Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Trends: Week 10

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

• Georgia State has lost 13 of its last 14 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Appalachian State has won 17 of its last 19 November games at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog against teams from North Carolina.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of Georgia State’s last five games.
• Georgia State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against teams from North Carolina.

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• Appalachian State has lost each of its last three November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has won three of Appalachian State’s last four games.
• The road team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Georgia State and Appalachian State.
• Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Appalachian State’s last 10 home games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Georgia State’s last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Sam Pickett III leads Appalachian State for receptions (36) this season.

Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 10, Fatboy Wiggins leads the Sun Belt Conference for yards per carry (6.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Appalachian State ranks T119th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.4).
• Appalachian State ranks T119th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (92.0).
• Georgia State ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.6).
• Georgia State ranks T123rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.0).

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Appalachian State -5.5