Pick details
| MATCHUP | Auburn Tigers | Tennessee Volunteers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Spread | +7 -110 | -7 -110 |
| Moneyline | +230 | -285 |
| Total | Over 54.5 (-105) | Under 54.5 (-115) |
| Where | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN | |
| When | Saturday, October 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Florida, beat Vanderbilt, and they play Georgia next. Auburn has split its last 10 games. Byrum Brown is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 896 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Keshaun Singleton and Chas Nimrod have combined for 508 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Koger has 10 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers’ ground game is averaging 178.5 yards per contest, and Byrum Brown leads the way with 237 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 20.8 points and 365.8 yards per game. Elijah Melendez leads the Auburn Tigers with 34 tackles, Xavier Atkins has 3 sacks, and Andre Jordan Jr. has 2 interceptions.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Kennesaw State, lost to Texas, and they play Arkansas next. Tennessee has won 9 of its last 14 games. Faizon Brandon is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 697 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Mike Matthews and Braylon Staley have combined for 393 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Radarious Jackson has 8 receptions.
The Tennessee Volunteers’ ground game is averaging 241.5 yards per contest, and DeSean Bishop leads the way with 320 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 15.5 points and 282.5 yards per game. Arion Carter leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 27 tackles, Mariyon Dye has 4 sacks, and Dejuan Lane has 1 interception.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 21 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Neyland Stadium.
- Auburn has lost 21 of its last 22 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Tennessee has covered the spread in three of its last four home games against teams from Alabama.
- Auburn has lost the first half in four of its last five October road games against AP-ranked teams.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Tennessee has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents at Neyland Stadium.
- Auburn has won three of its last four games.
- Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games as a home favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in 13 of Tennessee’s last 15 games at Neyland Stadium.
- Tennessee has lost the first half in three of its last four October games at Neyland Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last five October games at Neyland Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Auburn’s last five October games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Mariyon Dye ranks T10th amongst FBS players for sacks (4.0) this season.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Andre Jordan Jr. ranks T12th amongst FBS players for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks T7th among FBS teams for sacks this season (13.0).
- Tennessee ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (12.3).
- Auburn ranks 6th among FBS teams for sacks this season (14.0).
- Auburn ranks T126th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (71.4).
Auburn vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee had a test last week against Texas, and while the defense showed up, the offense was rough, and it does raise questions moving forward. It doesn’t help that the Vols are dealing with issues along their offensive line. Auburn has been in every game this season, and the offense is showing signs of coming along. We know the defense is physical and up to the task each week. Questions for both teams as they look to emerge from the pack, but this feels like a smash-mouth, low-scoring SEC showdown. Give me the free touchdown with Auburn.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Auburn +7
