Toledo Rockets head coach Tod Kowalczyk receives an explanation from a referee after guard Seth Hubbard (12) was charged with a technical foul during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in the semifinals of the Mid-American Conference Tournament at Rocket Arena on Friday, March 14, 2025, in Cleveland, Ohio.
Jeff Lange / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Youngstown State vs Toledo Prediction 11/19/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Youngstown State Penguins Toledo Rockets
Team Records 2-2 2-2
Spread +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105
Moneyline +100 -120
Total Over 161.5 (-115) Under 161.5 (-105)
Where Savage Arena, Toledo, OH
When Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Youngstown State vs Toledo prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, November 19th at Savage Arena in Toledo, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Youngstown State Penguins Betting Preview

The Youngstown State Penguins are 2-2 this season after they lost to St. Bonaventure by a score of 84-80 in their last game. Youngstown State trailed 36-33 at halftime and allowed 48 points in the second half for the close loss. The Penguins shot 49% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 67% on free throws in the game. Rich Rolf led Youngstown State with 14 points and five rebounds, while Cris Carroll added 13 points and five rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Youngstown State defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 115-53 and Grand Canyon by a score of 90-81. The Penguins have scored 76.3 points per game with 26.0 rebounds and 12.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 79.7 points against per game this season. Cris Carroll is averaging 14.3 points and 5.0 rebounds per game, while Imanuel Zorgvol is averaging 10.5 points and 3.5 rebounds per game for the Penguins. Youngstown State is shooting 45.6% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 36.4% on three pointers this season. 

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 2-2 this year after they defeated Detroit Mercy by a score of 90-83 in their last game. Toledo led 41-37 at halftime and added 49 points in the second half for the win. The Rockets shot 53% from the field, 28% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Leroy Blyden Jr led Toledo with 20 points and seven assists, while Sonny Wilson added 18 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Toledo defeated Wright State by a score of 81-71, but lost to Marshall by a score of 85-73 before that. The Rockets have scored 79.5 points per game with 32.5 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.8 points against per game this season. Sonny Wilson is averaging 16.5 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while Sean Craig is averaging 15.0 points and 7.8 rebounds per game for the Rockets. Toledo is shooting 48.9% from the field, 74% on free throws, and 37.9% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

  • Toledo has won nine of its last 10 night games against the Horizon League at Savage Arena.
  • Youngstown State has lost three of its last four road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Youngstown State has lost the first half in three of its last four road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Youngstown State Penguins will win

  • Youngstown State has won each of its last three road games against the Mid-American Conference.
  • Toledo has lost three of its last four night games at Savage Arena.
  • Youngstown State has won the first half in four of its last five games against the Mid-American Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Youngstown State’s last 12 Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
  • Thirteen of Toledo’s last 14 night games against the Horizon League have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.

Youngstown State vs Toledo Prediction 

Toledo comes into this matchup looking for their third straight win and they have scored 90 and 81 points in their last two games. The Rockets are shooting 49% from the field, but they have allowed 76+ points in three of their first four games. Youngstown State is shooting 46% from the field, but they have allowed at least 80 points in two of their last three games. I don’t trust either team on the defensive end of the court right now, but I do think Toledo is the slightly better offensive and rebounding team. Take the Rockets here.

David Racey's Pick: Toledo ML

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