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Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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New Mexico State (15-13) vs Western Kentucky (16-12)

March 1, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico State -3.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and New Mexico State Aggies meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Pan American Center. Here’s a Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction. This article will include a Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Pick.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview 

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat La Tech and UTEP, and they play FIU and Liberty next. WKU has lost five of its last seven road games.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are averaging 76.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 75.2 points on 41 percent shooting. Don McHenry is averaging 17.5 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Babacar Faye is averaging 15.2 points and 7.8 rebounds. Julius Thedford is the third double-digit scorer, and Khristian Lander is dishing 1.8 assists. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are shooting 3.9 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free throw line. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are allowing 31.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview 

The New Mexico State Aggies beat Kennesaw State, lost to Middle Tennessee, and they play LA Tech and Sam Houston next. New Mexico State is 4-7 since starting the season with a 11-6 record. 

The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 69.7 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 66.1 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Christian Cook is averaging 13.6 points and 2.3 rebounds, while Peter Filipovity is averaging 12.6 points and 8.1 rebounds. Zawdie Jackson is the third double-digit scorer and Robert Carpenter is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The New Mexico State Aggies are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 68.2 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico State Aggies are allowing 28.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

  • New Mexico State has won four of its last five day games against Conference opponents.
  • Western Kentucky has lost three of its last four road day games against Conference opponents.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

  • The road team has won five of New Mexico State’s last six games.
  • New Mexico State has lost five of its last six games at Pan American Center.

Matchup/League Facts

  • New Mexico State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.3).
  • New Mexico State ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.7%).
  • Western Kentucky ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.7).
  • Western Kentucky ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (41.0%).

Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Injury Report

New Mexico State doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Western Kentucky will be without Babacar Faye and Julius Thedford. 

Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction

There’s not much separation between Western Kentucky and New Mexico State, so I’m going to grab the points with the Hilltoppers. Heck, we saw Western Kentucky smoke New Mexico State a month ago by a score of 101-69. WKU is coming off a strong upset road win over UTEP. New Mexico State just lost to Middle Tennessee at home in the favorite role and has a horrible offense that’s not scaring anybody. Western Kentucky is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the points with the road dog.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Western Kentucky +3.5

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