Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/16/25 College Basketball Picks

The Utah State Aggies are visiting the New Mexico Lobos on Sunday, February 16th at The Pit. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction. We will examine:

The New Mexico Lobos’ recent form and player performance

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico Lobos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Utah State Aggies and New Mexico Lobos

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos game

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 21-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Mountain West. New Mexico is coming off a 71-67 win over Wyoming. The Lobos are 13-11 against the spread, and 11-13 in over/under while having a 13-1 home record.

Offensively, New Mexico is averaging 83.2 points per game, which is 15th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.7 points per game (153rd). The Lobos shoot 46.3% from the field (99th) and 35.5% from beyond the arc (99th). The Lobos shoot 68% from the free-throw line (301st) and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game (11th).

Donovan Dent leads New Mexico in scoring with an average of 19.6 points and a team-high 6.5 assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph adds 13.6 points and a team-high 10.9 rebounds per game.

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 22-3 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off a 93-85 win over Colorado State. The Aggies are 11-13 against the spread, and 11-11-2 in over/under while having a 7-1 road record.

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 81.8 points per game, which is the 27th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.4 points per game (108th). The Aggies shoot 49.8% from the field, which is the 6th-best in the nation, and 36.1% from beyond the arc (78th). The Aggies shoot 68.8% from the free-throw line (278th) and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game (212th).

Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 16.9 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.9 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 14.8 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 6.2 and in assists made, with 3.8 per game.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won 17 of its last 18 games against the Mountain West Conference.
• New Mexico has won the first half in eight of its last nine day games at The Pit.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Utah State has won eight of its last nine road games against the Mountain West Conference.
• Utah State has won the first half in each of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of New Mexico’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
• Twenty-nine of Utah State’s last 33 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (64.3%).
• New Mexico ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.9).
• Utah State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.5).
• Utah State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.68).

Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction

Utah State is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against New Mexico, but New Mexico is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings. Over is 3-1 in their last 8 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, New Mexico won 82-63 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, New Mexico is coming as a -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season, and are sitting on the top-2 places of the Mountain West. The Lobos have been very good in covering, as they are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, while on the other hand, the Aggies are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10. New Mexico has already won Utah State once this season on the road, and I expect them to do so again today.