UT Rio Grande Valley vs Northwestern State Prediction 2/3/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Northwestern State (9-12) vs UT Rio Grande Valley (13-9)

February 3, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Northwestern State -1 — Over/Under: 140.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UTRGV Vaqueros and the Northwestern State Demons meet Monday in college basketball action from the Prather Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UTRGV vs. Northwestern State Prediction.

UTRGV Recap

The UTRGV Vaqueros come into this game looking to build on an 83-73 win over Texas A&M-CC last time out to improve to 13-9 on the year. After this game, UTRGV will head on the road to take on Lamar.

Vaqueros Looking To Build Momentum

Hasan Abdul Hakim leads the Vaqueros in scoring with 13.3 PPG along with 6.8 RPG and 2.9 APG in 12 games played so far this season while Cliff Davis has 11.3 PPG with 4.4 RPG. K.T. Raimey has 10.3 PPG and DK Thorn’s added 12.1 PPG with 3.5 RPG. Howie Fleming Jr. has 10.5 PPG with a team-high 6.6 RPG to lead the Vaqueros on the glass and cap off the group of double-digit scorers for UTRGV so far this season. Trey Miller has 9.9 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 4.3 APG to lead UTRGV in assists so far this season. As a team, UTRGV is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 32% from behind the arc, and 69.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will win

  • Northwestern State has lost seven of its last eight night games against the Southland Conference.
  • Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won four of its last five games following a home win.

Northwestern State Recap

The Northwestern State Demons come into this game looking to bounce back from a 72-50 loss to East Texas A&M last time out to fall to 9-12 on the year. After this game, Northwestern State will head on the road for a game against McNeese.

Demons Drop Back-To-Back Games

Addison Patterson leads the Demons in scoring and assists with 12.9 PPG and 3.4 APG along with 5.6 RPG while Jon Sanders II has 10 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 2.3 APG as well. Micah Thomas has 10 PPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Northwestern State while Willie Williams has added 6.5 PPG and 7.3 RPG as well this season. As a team, Northwestern State is averaging 69.3 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 33.4% from behind the arc, and 70.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Northwestern State Demons will win

  • The home team has won nine of Northwestern State’s last 12 games.
  • Texas–Rio Grande Valley has lost three of its last four road games against the Southland Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Northwestern State’s last six games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
  • Ten of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last 11 road night games against the Southland Conference have produced a total of 143+ points.

UTRGV vs. Northwestern State Prediction

I’m on UTRGV here. I still have my concerns that the Vaqueros are running out of gas after being really competitive early on in the year, but my concern for Northwestern State here is that I don’t know how the Demons are going to score in this game. The Demons need to get to the foul line to have any sort of success because they don’t do much else well on the open floor, but UTRGV is 3rd in free throw rate allowed in conference play. UTRGV has still been able to pick up some decent wins in conference play, and I think the Demons get the job done here and get the win and cover on the road in this one. Give me the Vaqueros.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: UTRGV +1

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