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UT Arlington vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction 12/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | UT Arlington Mavericks | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Spread | +2.5 -118 | -2.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-105) | Under 144.5 (-115) |
| Where | UTRGV Fieldhouse, Edinburg, TX | |
| When | Thursday, December 11, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Preview
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros have a 3-5 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Southland. They have a 2-0 home record and are coming off a 63-50 home win against Austin Peay. Their previous three games were a loss against Stephen F. Austin by 73-60, a loss against Illinois by 87-73 and a loss against Missouri State by 74-67.
Offensively, UT Rio Grande Valley average 76.8 points per game, while allowing 73.8 points per game defensively. The Vaqueros shoot with 46% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively. K. Cotton leads UT Rio Grande Valley in scoring, with an average of 12.3 points per game, while shooting with 43% from the field and 77.8% from the free throw line.
UT Arlington Mavericks Preview
UT Arlington Mavericks have a 6-3 record this season and are sitting on the 3rd place of the Western Athletic. They have a 2-2 away record and are coming off an 83-63 away loss against Arkansas State. Their previous three games were a win against Stephen F. Austin by 66-61, a win against Weber State by 74-73 and a loss against Campbell by 71-67.
Offensively, UT Arlington average 76.1 points per game, while allowing 65.3 points per game defensively. The Mavericks shoot with 47% from the field and grab 40.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 4.7 blocks per game and 8.8 steals per game defensively. R. Seamster leads UT Arlington in scoring, with an average of 16.3 points per game, while shooting with 55.4% from the field and 55.2% from the free throw line.
UT Arlington Mavericks @ Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Betting Trends: December 11, 2025
Why the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will win
- The home team has won each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last six games.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has lost each of its last six Thursday games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won the first half in each of its last eight home games.
Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has lost 17 of its last 18 Thursday games against the Western Athletic Conference.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has won each of its last four games against Texas–Rio Grande Valley.
- UT Arlington Mavericks has won the first half in each of its last four games against Texas–Rio Grande Valley.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last 14 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
- Each of UT Arlington Mavericks’ last eight road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks T17th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (39.1%).
- UT Arlington Mavericks ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (4.0).
- UT Arlington Mavericks ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (24.3%).
UT Arlington vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction
In this UT Arlington vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction, UT Rio Grande Valley is coming as -2 home favorites. UT Arlington has been the better team this season, as they have twice as many wins as Rio Grande Valley and are coming into this matchup in good form, with a 5-2 record in their last 7 games. On the flip side, Rio Grande Valley is 1-3 in its last 4 games and have a weaker defense, allowing 8.5 points per game more than Arlington, who have a +10.8 point differential this season. Both teams are 11-3 to the under this season combined and I will rather go with the under 144.5 points in this one instead of picking a side.
