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UNLV vs Utah State Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | UNLV Runnin Rebels | Utah State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 17-15 | 25-6 |
| Spread | +6.5 -108 | -6.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +225 | -278 |
| Total | Over 156.5 (-115) | Under 156.5 (-105) |
| Where | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
UNLV Rebels Betting Preview
The UNLV Rebels lost to San Diego State and beat Wyoming. UNLV has won 3 of its last 4 games.
The UNLV Rebels are averaging 80 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 12.7 points and 2.1 assists. Tyrin Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Howie Fleming Jr. is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The UNLV Rebels are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.2 percent from the free throw line. The UNLV Rebels are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies lost to UNLV and beat New Mexico. Utah State has split its last 6 games.
The Utah State Aggies are averaging 84.1 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 69.1 points on 41.2 percent shooting. MJ Collins Jr. is averaging 17.9 points and 2.2 rebounds, while Mason Falslev is averaging 16.1 points and 2.9 assists. Karson Templin is dishing out 1 assist, and Kolby King is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Utah State Aggies are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free throw line. The Utah State Aggies are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- UNLV has lost each of its last eight games played at neutral venues.
- Utah State has won each of its last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win
- UNLV has won nine of its last 10 day games against the Mountain West Conference.
- Utah State has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents at the Thomas & Mack Center.
- Utah State has lost the first half in three of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UNLV’s last nine Conference Tournament day games at the Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Nine of Utah State’s last 10 Conference Tournament day games at the Thomas & Mack Center have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Utah State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (61.0%).
- Utah State ranks T17th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.7).
- UNLV ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.5).
- UNLV ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.2).
UNLV vs Utah State Prediction
Utah State is the better team that’s rested, but it also lost to UNLV twice this season. One of those losses came last week as 7.5-point favorites. Utah State is 12-18 ATS on the season. UNLV is playing its best ball of the season with wins in 7 of its last 10 games. UNLV has had a field day offensively in two games against Utah State. I’ll gladly take the points in this spot.
Randy Chambers's Pick: UNLV +7.5
