Mar 20, 2025; Lexington, KY, USA;  Utah State Aggies guard Mason Falslev (12) shoots the ball against UCLA Bruins forward Tyler Bilodeau (34) during the second half in the first round of the NCAA Tournament at Rupp Arena. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

UNLV vs Utah State Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UNLV Runnin Rebels Utah State Aggies
Team Records 9-8 15-2
Spread +16.5 -105 -16.5 -115
Moneyline +1100 -2100
Total Over 156.5 (-105) Under 156.5 (-115)
Where Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT
When Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Time 11:00 PM EST
TV FS1

In this article we will formulate a UNLV vs Utah State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, January 20th at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, Utah. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 9-8 (4-2) this season after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 76-62 in their last game. UNLV led 40-31 at halftime and they held SJSU to just 31 points in the second half in the win. The Rebels shot 54% from the field, 48% on three pointers, and 92% on free throws in the game. Howie Fleming Jr led UNLV with 21 points and eight assists, while Tyrin Jones added 12 points and two rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, UNLV defeated Boise State by a score of 89-85, but lost to Colorado State by a score of 70-62 before that. The Rebels have scored 78.9 points per game with 36.5 rebounds and 14.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.4 points against per game this season. Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn is averaging 16.8 points and 3.1 rebounds per game, while Kimani Hamilton is averaging 12.5 points and 4.6 rebounds per game for the Rebels. UNLV is shooting 45.8% from the field, 67.6% on free throws, and 30.7% on three pointers this season. 

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

The Utah State Aggies are 15-2 (6-1) this year after they lost to Grand Canyon by a score of 84-74 in their last game. Utah State trailed 42-36 at halftime and allowed 42 more points in the second half in the loss. The Aggies shot 36% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 74% on free throws in the game. Mason Falslev led Utah State with 25 points and 12 rebounds, while MJ Collins Jr added 12 points and one assist in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Utah State defeated Nevada by a score of 71-62 and Boise State by a score of 93-68. The Aggies have scored 85.3 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 18.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 67.7 points against per game this season. MJ Collins Jr is averaging 19.6 points and 2.4 rebounds per game, while Mason Falslev is averaging 16.7 points and 6.3 rebounds per game for the Aggies. Utah State is shooting 51.6% from the field, 72.5% on free throws, and 37.6% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won each of its last 11 games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UNLV has lost each of its last seven games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UNLV has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-five of UNLV’s last 27 games against the Mountain West Conference Conference have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
  • Four of Utah State’s last five games have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (58.9%).
  • Utah State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (62.1%).
  • UNLV ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.8).

UNLV vs Utah State Prediction 

Utah State comes into this matchup after a road loss against Grand Canyon, but they are 15-2 on the season and they are back at home here. The Aggies are shooting 52% from the field and they have scored 93 points or more in three of their last five. UNLV has won two in a row, but they have scored 66 and 62 points in two of their last three road games. The Rebels are shooting 46% from the field and they have allowed 85+ points in two of their last four games. Utah State is the best team in the Mountain West and I expect a big bounce back performance from them here. Take the Aggies to cover at home.

David Racey's Pick: Utah State -16.5

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