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UNLV vs Boise State Prediction 2025/01/07 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Boise State (11-4) vs UNLV (9-5)

January 7, 2025 at 10:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Boise State -7 — Over/Under: 140

(Get latest betting odds)

The UNLV Rebels are visiting the Boise State Broncos on Tuesday, January 7th at the ExtraMile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction. We will examine:

The Boise State Broncos’ recent form and player performance

The UNLV Rebels’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UNLV Rebels

Recent betting trends in games played between UNLV Rebels and Boise State Broncos

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos game

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have an 11-4 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off a 68-76 loss to San Diego State. The Broncos are 5-9 against the spread, and 8-6 in over/under while having a 6-1 home record

Offensively, Boise State is averaging 77.4 points per game, which ranks 132nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.3 points per game (59th). The Broncos shoot 46.9% from the field (94th) and 30.2% from beyond the arc (318th). The Broncos shoot 78% from the free-throw line (24th) and are grabbing 38.3 rebounds per game (83rd).

Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 17.5 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Andrew Meadow adds 12.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Boise State will meet Utah State and Wyoming after this game.

UNLV Rebels Preview

The UNLV Rebels have a 9-5 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the Mountain West. UNLV is coming off a 79-73 win over San Jose State. The Rebels are 4-9-1 against the spread, and 6-8 in over/under while having a 1-2 road record.

Offensively, UNLV is averaging 73.5 points per game, which ranks 234th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.5 points per game (133rd). The Rebels shoot 46.3% from the field (121st) and 38.5% from beyond the arc (26th). The Rebels shoot 71.6% from the free-throw line (183rd) and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game (317th).

Dedan Thomas leads UNLV in scoring this season, with an average of 16.3 points and a team-high 4.3 assists, while Jaimie Bedford adds 11.1 points and 3.4 rebounds.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Boise State has won 34 of its last 36 night games against the Mountain West Conference at ExtraMile Arena.
  • UNLV has lost each of its last seven games at ExtraMile Arena following a home win.
  • Boise State has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games at ExtraMile Arena.

Why the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will win

  • UNLV has won seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UNLV has won the first half in each of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Four of Boise State’s last five night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 142+ points.
  • Four of UNLV’s last five night games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Boise State ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.5).
  • Boise State ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.6).
  • UNLV ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (38.5%).
  • UNLV ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).

UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction

Boise State is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against UNLV, but UNLV is 4-3 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UNLV won 68-64 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the total. In this UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Boise State is coming as a -7 home favorites. Boise State is better both offensively, scoring 3.9 points more than UNLV, and defensively, allowing 3.2 points less. The Broncos are winning by an average of 7.1 points this season, while the Rebels are winning by an average of 4 points. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, as they are 6-1 to the over in their last 7 meetings combined, and the over is trending heavily in their recent meetings. I expect another high-scoring affair, so take the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 140

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