UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The UMBC Retrievers and UMass Lowell River Hawks meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Kennedy Family Athletic Complex. Here’s a UMBC vs. UMass Lowell prediction. This article will include a UMBC vs. UMass Lowell pick.

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers beat Albany and Bryant, and they play NJIT next. UMBC has won 7 straight games.

The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 77.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 70.6 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Jah’likai King is averaging 13.8 points and 3.6 rebounds, while DJ Armstrong Jr. is averaging 12.9 points and 2.9 rebounds. Ace Valentine is the third double-digit scorer and Caden Diggs is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.

UMass Lowell River Hawks Betting Preview

The UMass Lowell River Hawks beat Binghamton and lost to Vermont, and they play Maine next. UMass Lowell has won 5 of its last 7 games.

The UMass Lowell River Hawks are averaging 78.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 79 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Angel Montas Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Austin Green is averaging 13.8 points and 8 rebounds. Xavier Spencer is the third double-digit scorer and Darrell Yepdo is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The UMass Lowell River Hawks are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 66.3 percent from the free throw line. The UMass Lowell River Hawks are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game.

Why the UMass Lowell River Hawks will win

• UMass Lowell has won each of its last 24 day games at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• UMBC has lost each of its last four games at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex.
• UMBC has lost the first half in each of its last three games at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

• UMBC has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of UMBC’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at the Kennedy Family Athletic Complex has produced a total of 156+ points.
• Each of UMass Lowell’s last four day games at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex has produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UMass Lowell ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (53.6%).
• UMBC ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.9).
• UMBC ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.2%).

UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction

UMass Lowell is getting love because it’s at home but I’m not leaving the free bucket on the table with the better team. UMBC is simply playing better ball and is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games. UMBC also smoked UMass Lowell last month by 23 points. With a suffocating defense and seven road wins, there’s no reason the Retrievers are small favorites in this spot. Again, you’ll make a lot of money in this business long-term if you get a better team at the more favorable price or with a soft line. Give me UMBC.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UMBC -1.5