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UMass Lowell vs Vermont Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

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Vermont (16-11) vs UMass Lowell (16-11)

February 22, 2025 at 04:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Vermont -4.5 — Over/Under: 138.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UMass Lowell River Hawks and the Vermont Catamounts meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Patrick Gymnasium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UMass Lowell vs. Vermont prediction.

Matchup History

The Vermont Catamounts won the first meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 67-63 at UMass Lowell on January 9th, 2025. The win made it six straight head-to-head victories for Vermont over UMass Lowell, with the Catamounts going 5-1 ATS in those six games.

UMass Lowell Recap

The UMass Lowell River Hawks come into this game looking to add on to their 98-79 win over UMBC last time out to improve their record to 16-11 on the year. After this game, UMass Lowell will head home for a game against Bryant.

River Hawks Use UMBC To Snap Three Game Skid

Quinton Mincey leads the River Hawks in scoring and assists with 16.3 PPG and 2.9 APG along with 6.4 RPG while Max Brooks has 15.7 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG and 2.7 BPG to lead the River Hawks on the glass and in blocks. Yuri Covington has 11.3 PPG with 4 RPG and Martin Somerville has 14 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for UMass Lowell so far this season. Cam Morris III also has 8.9 PPG with 4.5 RPG as well. As a team, UMass Lowell is averaging 81.1 PPG on 49.6% shooting from the field, 35.3% from three and 77.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the UMass Lowell River Hawks will win

  • UMass Lowell has won eight of its last 10 day games.

Vermont Recap

The Vermont Catamounts come into this game looking to add on to their 59-55 win over Bryant last time out to sit at 16-11 on the year as well. After this game, Vermont will head on the road for a matchup with NJIT.

Catamounts Win 5th In A Row, Chasing Down Bryant

TJ Hurley leads the Catamounts in scoring with 15.7 PPG along with 2.4 RPG while TJ Long has 11.1 PPG with 3.1 RPG. Ileri Ayo-Faleye has 10.9 PPG with 4.8 RPG while Shamir Bogues has 10.4 PPG with 4.6 RPG and a team-high 2.4 APG to lead Vermont in the assist department so far this season. Nick Fiorillo has 10.3 PPG with 4.9 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Vermont so far this season while Sam Alamutu has a team-high 5.6 RPG to lead the Catamounts in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Vermont is averaging 65.9 PPG on 42.4% shooting from the field, 32.6% from three and 72.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Vermont Catamounts will win

  • Vermont has won 39 of its last 40 home games against the America East Conference.
  • UMass Lowell has lost each of its last nine games at Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of UMass Lowell’s last 10 day games have produced a total of 140+ points.
  • Nine of Vermont’s last 10 day games have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

UMass Lowell vs. Vermont Prediction

I’m on Vermont in this game. UMass Lowell simply could not miss against UMBC, but I think some regression is coming hard and fast for UMass Lowell here. Vermont is a much better defensive unit than UMBC, and this is a Lowell team I’ve had trouble trusting with consistency for much of the season. I think Vermont has a real chance to catch Bryant if they can win out as I think Bryant has been stumbling a little bit in some of their recent games so give me Vermont laying the points at home in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Vermont -4.5

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