UMass-Lowell vs Albany Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Albany (8-6) vs UMass-Lowell (11-4)

January 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Albany +1.5 / UMass-Lowell -1.5 — Over/Under: 161

(Get latest betting odds)

The UMass-Lowell River Hawks are visiting the Albany Great Danes on Saturday, January 4th at the Broadview Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UMass-Lowell River Hawks vs Albany Great Danes Prediction. We will examine:

The Albany Great Danes recent form and player performance

The UMass-Lowell River Hawks recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Albany Great Danes

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UMass-Lowell River Hawks

Recent betting trends in games played between UMass-Lowell River Hawksand Albany Great Danes

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UMass-Lowell River Hawks vs Albany Great Danes game

Albany Great Danes Preview

The Albany Great Danes have an 8-7 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the American East. Albany is coming off a 77-70 win over Stony Brook. The Great Danes are 6-7 against the spread, and 8-5 in over/under, while having a 4-1 home record. 

Offensively, Albany is averaging 77.4 points per game, which is 139th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.7 points per game (247th). The Great Danes shoot with 45.4% from the field (167th), and with 33.1% from beyond the arc (220th). The Great Danes shoot with 77.4% from the free-throw line (110th), and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game (341st).

Amare Marshall leads Albany in scoring with an average of 14 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Justin Neely adds 12.1 points and a team-high 6.4 rebounds.

UMass-Lowell River Hawks Preview

The UMass-Lowell River Hawks have a 11-4 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the American East. UMass-Lowell is coming off a 101-39 win over Emerson. The River Hawks are 5-7 against the spread, and 7-5 in over/under, while having a 1-4 road record.

Offensively, UMass-Lowell is averaging 85.1 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.1 points per game (239th). The River Hawks shoot with 51.7% from the field, which is the second-best in the nation, and with 37.7% from beyond the arc (42nd). The River Hawks shoot with 78% from the free-throw line (23rd), and are grabbing 37.7 rebounds per game (115th).

Quinton Mincey leads UMass-Lowell in scoring with an average of 15.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists, while Max Brooks adds 15.3 points and a team-high 7.9 rebounds.

Why the UAlbany Great Danes will win

  • The home team has won 22 of UMass Lowell’s last 23 games.
  • UMass Lowell has lost seven of its last eight road games.
  • UAlbany has won the first half in five of its last six day games at Broadview Center.

Why the UMass Lowell River Hawks will win

  • UMass Lowell has won each of its last six games.
  • UAlbany has lost each of its last four day games against the America East Conference.
  • UMass Lowell has won the first half in 15 of its last 18 day games against the America East Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Fifteen of UAlbany’s last 16 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Broadview Center have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
  • Twenty of UMass Lowell’s last 22 road day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UAlbany ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (1.5).
  • UAlbany ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.6%).
  • UMass Lowell ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (62.8%).
  • UMass Lowell ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (51.7%).

UMass-Lowell River Hawks vs Albany Great Danes Prediction

UMass-Lowel has won their last three meetings against Albany, but Albany is 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UMass-Lowel won 104-95 at home, not covering the spread as the game went over the total. In this UMass-Lowell River Hawks vs Albany Great Danes Prediction, UMass-Lowell is coming as -1.5 road favorites. UMass-Lowell is better both offensively, scoring 7.7 points more than Albany, and defensively, allowing 1.6 points less. The River Hawks are winning by an average of 12 points this season, while the Great Danes are winning by an average of 2.7 points. The Hawks are in great form with six consecutive wins, while the Great Danes are struggling, with a 2-4 record in their last 6 games. UMass-Lowell is the far better team in this matchup and will have no trouble winning on the road. Take the UMass-Lowell River Hawks and lay the points on the road.

 

 

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UMass-Lowell River Hawks -1.5

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