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UConn vs Providence Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Providence (12-16) vs UConn (19-9)

March 1, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Providence +6.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

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The UConn Huskies and the Providence Friars meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Amica Mutual Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UConn vs. Providence prediction.

Matchup History

The UConn Huskies won the first meeting between these two teams back on January 5th, 2025, at home by a final score of 87-84. The win made it five straight wins for the Huskies in this head-to-head matchup.

UConn Recap

The UConn Huskies will be out to build some momentum after picking up a 93-79 win over Georgetown last time out to sit at 19-9 on the year. After this game, UConn will head home for a matchup with Marquette.

Huskies Looking To Find Consistency After Alternating Wins & Losses In 7 Consecutive Games

Liam McNeeley has 15.3 PPG and 6.7 RPG along with 2.4 APG in 19 games played so far this season while Solo Ball has added 14.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG. Alex Karaban’s added 14.2 PPG with 5.1 RPG and 3 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for UConn up to this point in the year. Tarris Reed Jr. has 9.4 PPG with 6.9 RPG to lead the Huskies on the glass so far this season. Hassan Diarra has 8 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Huskies in assists. Samson Johnson also has 7.5 PPG with 3.1 RPG as well on the year. As a team, UConn is averaging 77.7 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field, 35% from three and 78% from the foul line this season.

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

  • Connecticut has won 22 of its last 24 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Providence has lost six of its last seven games.

Providence Recap

The Providence Friars come into this game looking to bounce back from an 82-52 road loss at the hands of Marquette last time out to sit at 12-16 on the year. After this game, Providence will have a home date against Depaul on deck.

Friars Lose Back-To-Back Games & 6 Of Last 7

Jayden Pierre’s logged 12.9 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.2 APG. Bensley Joseph has 13.1 PPG with 4.1 RPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Friars in assists to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Providence so far this season. Wesley Cardet Jr. has 9 PPG with 3.3 RPG while Corey Floyd Jr. has 9.4 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Oswin Erhunmwunse has 5.4 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Providence is averaging 72.4 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 69% from the foul line this season.

Why the Providence Friars will win

  • Providence has won 21 of its last 24 day games at Amica Mutual Pavilion.
  • Connecticut has lost each of its last three day games.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Providence’s last six home day games against the Big East Conference have produced a total of 146+ points.
  • Each of Connecticut’s last three day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

UConn vs. Providence Prediction

I’m on UConn here. I don’t love laying points on the road with this season’s version of the Huskies, as I don’t feel this is the same potent lineup for UConn in either of the championship teams from each of the last two seasons. However, it’s even harder to back Providence who doesn’t really have an identity, as the defense that they were once known for and relied on at times to keep the Friars competitive, has fallen apart, allowing 80+ points in 5 of their last 6 games overall. I think that UConn needs a win here and can ill afford to slip up if they’re going to have a legitimate case to make to the NCAA tournament committee so give me UConn in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: UConn -6.5

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