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UCF vs Iowa State Prediction 1/21/25 College Basketball Picks

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Iowa State (15-2) vs UCF (12-5)

January 21, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa State -15.5 — Over/Under: 152.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UCF Knights and Iowa State Cyclones meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Hilton Coliseum. Here’s a UCF vs Iowa State Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Iowa State Pick.

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights beat Arizona State, lost to Houston, and they play TCU, Kansas, and BYU next. The UCF Knights are averaging 78.9 points on 42.2 percent shooting and allowing 77.4 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 16.9 points and 2.5 assists, while Darius Johnson is averaging 14.9 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jordan Ivy-Curry is the third double-digit scorer and Moustapha Thiam is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The UCF Knights are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The UCF Knights are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones beat Kansas, lost to West Virginia, and they play Arizona State, Arizona, and Kansas State next. The Iowa State Cyclones are averaging 83.8 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 65.3 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Curtis Jones is averaging 17.8 points and 2.5 assists, while Keshon Gilbert is averaging 15.4 points and 3.6 rebounds. Joshua Jefferson is the third double-digit scorer and Tamin Lipsey is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The Iowa State Cyclones are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Iowa State Cyclones are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Iowa State has won each of its last 22 games at James H. Hilton Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UCF has lost each of its last five games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • UCF has lost the first half in four of its last five road night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Iowa State’s last 13 night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Nine of UCF’s last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Iowa State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.2%).
  • Iowa State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (119.9).
  • UCF ranks 43rd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.7%).
  • UCF ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.2).

UCF vs Iowa State Injury Report

Iowa State will continue to be without Milan Momcilovic. UCF will be without Cameron Simpson, while Jaylin Sellers is questionable.

UCF vs Iowa State Prediction

The Iowa State Cyclones are obviously the more talented team, and they’ll be motivated for a bounce-back effort after losing to West Virginia. This could be a blowout. The problem is, that UCF plays with a faster pace and scores enough to hang around. UCF is 7-3 SU and ATS in its last 10 games, and nearly just beat Houston as a double-digit underdog. UCF gave Arizona a scare as a double-digit underdog. UCF beat Texas Tech as a double-digit underdog. The UCF Knights have shown they can compete and even beat the big boys. This line is disrespectful. I’ll take my chances with UCF and the points on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UCF +15.5

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