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UCF vs Baylor Prediction 2/8/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Baylor (14-8) vs UCF (13-9)

February 8, 2025 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Baylor -11 — Over/Under: 157.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UCF vs Baylor Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 8th, at the Foster Pavilion. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Knights’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bears’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving UCF

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baylor

-Recent betting trends in games played between UCF and Baylor

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Knights and Bears. 

Baylor is Struggling

This isn’t the same Baylor team as years past, and they have lost three games in a row. Two games ago against Kansas, they lost 81-70 and in the last game against Texas Tech, they lost 73-59. At halftime, they were down 34-24 and in the second half, it didn’t get any better. Baylor shot 33.9 percent from the field and 27.8 percent from behind the three-point line. There were four different players that put up 10 points, but it wasn’t enough. Norchad Omier put up 16 points, 12 rebounds, and one assist. Baylor shot only 33.9 percent from the field and 27.88 percent from deep. 

Baylor sits with a 14-8 record overall and they have gone 8-12-1 against the spread. The over has hit in 12 of the games. At home, they have gone 9-1 straight up. Baylor is averaging 79.5 points while their defense is giving up 69.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 63rd in the league while the defense is ranked 107th. VJ Edgecome is dealing with a lower-body injury and is questionable for this game. If he can’t go, it’s a big loss for the squad. Langston Love is dealing with an ankle injury, and he’s also questionable for this game. 

Why Baylor Will Beat UCF

  • Baylor has won 10 of its last 11 home games.
  • UCF has lost five of its last six games against the Big 12 Conference.

Can UCF Make Enough Defensive Stops?

UCF can really score, but their defense has been an issue, and the question is, can they make enough stops? UCF, in the last game, faced off against Cincinnati, and the offense scored 93 points, but the defense gave up 83 points, and that led to the defeat. At halftime, they were only down four, and in the second half, it got even worse. UCF shot 47.8 percent from the floor, but they allowed the Bearcats to shoot 58.5 percent from the floor. Two games ago against BYU, they scored 75 points, but the defense gave up 81 points. 

UCF sits with a 13-9 record overall and they have gone 11-11 against the spread. UCF is averaging 79.8 points while their defense is giving up 79.4 points per game. The offense is ranked 58th in the league while the defense is ranked 341st. They are averaging 62.95 field goals attempted per game which is 30th. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 18.3 points while shooting 43.6 percent from the field. 

UCF vs Baylor Prediction

Until we know the status of Edgecombe, I want to stay away from the side, although if he’s playing, it’s a lean-to Baylor. That being said, I do think this total is a little too low. Baylor and UCF can score, but I don’t think Baylor wants to get into a shootout here, and they are going to try and slow down the pace a little bit. They aren’t going to completely lockdown, but they are going to step up enough to keep this game under the total. This total is a  few points too high. Back the under. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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