Mar 17, 2023; Denver, CO, USA;  UC Santa Barbara Gauchos guard Ajay Mitchell (13) drives to the basket against Baylor Bears during the first half in the first round of the 2023 NCAA men   s basketball tournament at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael Ciaglo-Imagn Images
Michael Ciaglo-Imagn Images

UC Santa Barbara vs Sacramento State Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Gauchos UC Santa Barbara Hornets Sacramento State
Team Records 2-0 2-0
Where Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA
When Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a UC Santa Barbara vs Sacramento State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

Sacramento State has a 2-0 record this season. They are 2-0 ATS, 2-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Sacramento State is coming off a 86-76 home win against William Jessup and will face UC Davis, Presbyterian and UCLA next.

Offensively, Sacramento State averages 94.5 points per game, which ranks 66th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 77.5 points per game (243rd). The Hornets shoot with 48.0% from the field (137th), and with 46.4% from beyond the arc (20th). They shoot with 76.8% from the free throw line (76th), and grab 45 rebounds per game (65th), while dishing out 19 assists per game (71st) and committing 14 turnovers per game (232nd).

Jayden Teat leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 20 points and 2.5 rebounds. Prophet Johnson follows with 18.5 points, 10 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, while Jeremiah Cherry adds 16 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists per game.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Preview

UC Santa Barbara has a 2-0 record this season. They are 1-0 ATS, 1-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. UC Santa Barbara is coming off an 85-74 home win against San Jose State and will face Loyola Marymount, Nevada and Nobel next.

Offensively, UC Santa Barbara averages 91.5 points per game, which ranks 83rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 70.5 points per game (173rd). The Gauchos shoot with 51.7% from the field (60th), and with 39.1% from beyond the arc (75th). They shoot with 66.1% from the free throw line (262nd), and grab 42.5 rebounds per game (105th), while dishing out 16 assists per game (154th) and committing 11.5 turnovers per game (119th).

Colin Smith leads UC Santa Barbara in scoring, with an average of 18.5 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ Shaw follows with 14.5 points and 3.5 rebounds per game, while Zion Sensley adds 13.5 points and 8 rebounds per game.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos @ Sacramento State Hornets Betting Trends: November 11, 2025


Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • UC Santa Barbara has lost seven of its last nine road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • UC Santa Barbara has lost the first half in each of its last three road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

  • Sacramento State has lost each of its last six games against the Big West Conference.
  • UC Santa Barbara has won 14 of its last 17 games against the Big Sky Conference.
  • Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents.

UC Santa Barbara vs Sacramento State Prediction

In this UC Santa Barbara vs Sacramento State Prediction, UC Santa Barbara is coming as -8.5 road favorites. Both teams have been perfect this season, having won their two games played and both are looking sharp, winning by an average of 17 and 21 points per game respectively. Sacramento State is playing its third consecutive game at home, while Santa Barbara is playing its first on the road but both teams have been red-hot offensively, scoring 186 points per game combined, so I expect fireworks in this one. Take the over 161.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 161.5

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