Troy vs Texas State Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Troy vs Texas State prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th at Strahan Arena in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans are 17-8 (9-3) this season after they defeated Akron by a score of 79-69 in their last game. Troy led 35-29 at halftime and they added 44 in the second half to complete the victory. The Trojans shot 43% from the field, 52% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Cooper Campbell led Troy with 25 points and five assists, while Theo Seng added 15 points and four rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Troy defeated Georgia State by a score of 74-63, but lost to Appalachian State by a score of 66-44 before that. The Trojans have scored 83.1 points per game with 38.9 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.9 points against per game this season. Victor Valdes is averaging 15.5 points and 4.7 assists per game, while Thomas Dowd is averaging 14.9 points and 10.4 rebounds per game for the Trojans. Troy is shooting 45.1% from the field, 73.5% on free throws, and 35.0% on three pointers this season. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 15-11 (7-6) this year after they defeated Western Michigan by a score of 77-61 in their last game. Texas State led 36-25 at halftime and they scored 41 points in the second half in the 16-point win. The Bobcats shot 54% from the field, 44% on three pointers, and 90% on free throws in the game. Mark Drone led Texas State with 20 points and three assists, while DJ Hall added 16 points and five rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Texas State defeated Georgia Southern by a score of 77-71 and Old Dominion by a score of 81-64. The Bobcats have scored 73.7 points per game with 36.7 rebounds and 13.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.7 points against per game this season. DJ Hall is averaging 14.3 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, while Mark Drone is averaging 13.8 points and 3.2 rebounds per game for the Bobcats. Texas State is shooting 45.9% from the field, 75.9% on free throws, and 32.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won 14 of its last 15 games at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last four night games between Troy and Texas State have produced a total of 143+ points.
• Five of Troy’s last six road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 160+ points.

Troy vs Texas State Prediction 

Texas State comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed fewer than 70 points in three of those four games. The Bobcats are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored 77+ in three straight. Troy has split their last four games, but they have allowed fewer than 70 points in three straight. The Trojans are shooting 45% from the field and they have won four road games in a row. Troy is the better overall team, but Texas State is playing very well and they are at home. Take the Bobcats here.

David Racey's Pick: Texas State +5.5