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Troy vs James Madison Prediction 3/9/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

James Madison (20-11) vs Troy (21-10)

March 9, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: James Madison +2.5 — Over/Under: 133.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Troy Trojans and James Madison Dukes meet Sunday in the college basketball Sun Belt Semifinal at the Pensacola Bay Center. Here’s a Troy vs James Madison Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs James Madison Pick.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview 

The Troy Trojans are coming off wins over Coastal Carolina, Texas State, Southern Miss, and Old Dominion. Troy has won four straight games and 10 of its last 13 games overall. 

The Troy Trojans are averaging 73 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 65.3 points on 41 percent shooting. Tayton Conerway is averaging 13.7 points and 5 assists, while Myles Rigsby is averaging 11.8 points and 4.1 rebounds. Thomas Dowd is dishing 1 assist and Jackson Fields is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Troy Trojans are shooting 29.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71 percent from the free throw line. The Troy Trojans are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.2 rebounds per game.

James Madison Dukes Betting Preview 

The James Madison Dukes recently played Georgia Southern, UL Monroe, and Texas State. James Madison hasn’t played since February 28, and hasn’t lost two straight games since January 9-11. 

The James Madison Dukes are averaging 74.4 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 70.3 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Mark Freeman is averaging 15.2 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Bryce Lindsay is averaging 13.6 points and 2.2 assists. Elijah Hutchins-Everett is the third double-digit scorer and Xavier Brown is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The James Madison Dukes are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free throw line. The James Madison Dukes are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game.

Why the James Madison Dukes will win

  • James Madison has won 10 of its last 11 games against Conference opponents.
  • Troy has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Sun Belt Conference at neutral venues.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

  • Troy has won each of its last four games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Troy ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.85).
  • Troy ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.6%).

Troy vs James Madison Injury Report

Neither Troy nor James Madison have a player listed on its injury report.

Troy vs James Madison Prediction

I was going to make a case for Troy and say there’s potential rust for a James Madison team that hasn’t played since February 28. However, I then saw James Madison is the underdog and had to do a double-take to confirm. James Madison has been the class of the Sun Belt all season and has just two losses since January 20. James Madison also beat Troy in the only meeting a month ago, holding the Trojans to 61 points on 42 percent shooting from the field and 27 percent from deep. I’m just not buying this line. Give me the points with the better team in James Madison.

Randy Chambers's Pick: James Madison +2.5

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