Troy vs Georgia State Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Troy vs Georgia State Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, February 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Georgia State Panthers Preview

The Georgia State Panthers have a 9-14 overall record this season and a 6-5 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 69-67 away loss against South Alabama and their previous three games were an 82-72 away loss against Louisiana, an 82-81 home win against Arkansas State and a 69-62 home win against Southern Miss.

Offensively, Georgia State averages 71 points per game, while allowing 73.8 points per game defensively. The Panthers shoot with 38% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.9 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.

Jelani Hamilton leads Georgia State in scoring, with an average of 18.7 points per game, while shooting with 40.1% from the field and 91.6% from the free throw line. Joah Chappelle is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.7 per game. Malachi Brown leads the team in assists with 3 per game.

Troy Trojans Preview

The Troy Trojans have a 15-8 overall record this season and an 8-3 record in the Sun Belt. They are coming off a 66-44 home loss against Appalachian State and their previous three games were a 73-64 home loss against James Madison, an 83-78 away win against Georgia State and an 83-77 double-overtime away win against Old Dominion.

Offensively, Troy averages 83.7 points per game, while allowing 75.7 points per game defensively. The Trojans shoot with 45% from the field and grab 38.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.4 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 9 steals per game defensively.

Victor Valdes leads Troy in scoring, with an average of 16 points per game, while shooting with 41.2% from the field and 75.2% from the free throw line. Thomas Dowd is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.3 per game. Cooper Campbell leads the team in assists with 4.8 per game.

Troy Trojans @ Georgia State Panthers Betting Trends: February 4, 2026

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• The home team has won each of Georgia State’s last four games.
• Georgia State has won the first half in six of its last seven night games at GSU Convocation Center.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Georgia State has lost seven of its last eight night games.
• Troy has won each of its last four games against Georgia State.
• Troy has won the first half in each of its last four games against Georgia State.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy’s last five road games have produced a total of 160+ points.
• Each of Georgia State’s last six Wednesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Georgia State ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (38.2%).
• Georgia State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.3%).
• Troy ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.6).
• Troy ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.3%).

Troy vs Georgia State Prediction

In this Troy vs Georgia State Prediction, Troy is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Troy has been the better team this season and they have more road wins than Georgia State has at home. Both teams have back-to-back losses, but Georgia State is 4-1 in its last 5 home games and are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 and they also have a slightly better defense than Troy, so I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take Georgia State and get the +5.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Georgia State +5.5