Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

The Toledo Rockets and the Buffalo Bulls meet Saturday in college basketball action from the UB Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toledo vs. Buffalo prediction.

Matchup History

The Toledo Rockets won the first meeting between these two teams this season back on February 4th, 2025, at home by a final count of 87-74. The win made it eight straight for Toledo in this head-to-head series, though Buffalo has gone 2-0-1 ATS in the last three head-to-head.

Toledo Recap

The Toledo Rockets come into this game looking to shake off a 105-65 loss at the hands of Kent State last time out to slip to 16-12 on the year. After this game, Toledo will head home for a matchup with Akron.

Rockets Lose Back-To-Back Games & 4 Of Last 5

Sam Lewis leads Toledo in scoring with 15.5 PPG along with 4.9 RPG while Sonny Wilson has 15.4 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 3.2 APG. Javan Simmons has 11.4 PPG with a team-high 6.6 RPG to lead Toledo in rebounding while Isaiah Adams has 11 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 3.3 APG to lead the Rockets in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Toledo up to this point in the year. Bryce Ford has 7.5 PPG with 3.1 RPG while Seth Hubbard has 7.4 PPG with 2.6 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Toledo is averaging 77.4 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three and 73.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

• Buffalo has lost each of its last nine day games at Alumni Arena.
• Toledo has won each of its last eight games against Buffalo.

Buffalo Recap

The Buffalo Bulls come into this game looking to bounce back from a 73-69 loss at the hands of Central Michigan last time out to sit at 8-20 on the year. After this game, Buffalo will head home for a matchup with Miami-Ohio.

Bulls Lose 4th In A Row

Ryan Sabol leads the Bulls in scoring with 14.8 PPG while Tyson Dunn has 12.1 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 5.5 APG to lead the Bulls in the assist department and to round out the pair of double-digit scorers for Buffalo up to this point in the year. Ben Michaels has 7.5 PPG with 4 RPG while Noah Batchelor has 7.3 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG to lead the Bulls on the glass up to this point in the year. Anquan Boldin Jr. also has 7.6 PPG and 3.2 RPG as well this season for the Bulls. As a team, Buffalo is averaging 71.4 PPG on 42.1% shooting from the field, 29.8% from three and 69.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

• The home team has won seven of Toledo’s last eight games.
• Toledo has lost four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Buffalo’s last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Alumni Arena have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
• Five of Toledo’s last six games at Alumni Arena have produced a total of 163+ points.

Toledo vs. Buffalo Prediction

I’m on Buffalo and the points here. Not a game I’m rushing to bet necessarily, but the Bulls have been able to compete in some recent games and I’m just not in a position where I want to be laying this kind of number with Toledo just because. The Buffalo Bulls have limited home games left, and I think that this is a spot where Toledo wins, but Buffalo covers. Give me Buffalo and the points here.