The Citadel vs VMI Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

VMI (7-11) vs The Citadel (5-11)

January 18, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: VMI +1.5 — Over/Under: 135.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The VMI Keydets and the Citadel Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the McAlister Field House. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a VMI vs. the Citadel prediction.

VMI Recap

The VMI Keydets come into this game looking to add on to their 66-50 win over Western Carolina last time out to improve to 7-11 on the year. After this game, VMI will head home for a game against the Furman Paladins.

Keydets Looking To Build Momentum After Snapping Five-Game Skid

Augustinas Kiudulas leads the Keydets in scoring and rebounding with 15.5 PPG and 6.5 RPG while TJ Johnson has 12.7 PPG with 4.5 RPG and Rickey Bradley Jr. has 14.8 PPG with 4.8 RPG and 3.3 APG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for VMI so far this season. Linus Holmstrom posted 7.9 PPG while Tan Yildizoglu has 7.6 PPG with 3 RPG and a team-high 4.4 APG to lead the Keydets in the assist department up to this point in the season. As a team, VMI is averaging 76.4 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 34.3% from behind the three-point line, and 75.4% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the VMI Keydets will win

  • The Citadel has lost each of its last eight games.

The Citadel Recap

The Citadel Bulldogs come into this game looking to shake off a 70-57 loss to UNC-Greensboro in their last game to fall to 5-11 on the year. After this game, the Citadel will head on the road once again to do battle with the Wofford Terriers.

Bulldogs Lose 8th In A Row

Brody Fox leads the Citadel in scoring with 16.3 PPG along with 4.4 RPG and 2.3 APG as the lone double-digit scorer for the Citadel so far this season. Keynan Davis has 9.2 PPG with 3.2 RPG while Sola Adebisi has 8.6 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG to lead the Citadel in rebounding so far this season. Cameron Glover has 8.9 PPG and Colby McAllister has 7 PPG with 3.1 RPG while Paxton Davidson has 6 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 2.9 APG to lead the Bulldogs in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, the Citadel is averaging 69.1 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field, 30.5% from behind the three-point line, and 58% from the foul line so far this season.

Why The Citadel Bulldogs will win

  • VMI has lost each of its last nine day games against the Southern Conference.
  • The home team has won six of VMI’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty of VMI’s last 21 games have produced a total of 136+ points.
  • Thirty-nine of The Citadel’s last 43 day games against Conference opponents at McAlister Field House have produced a total of 136+ points.

VMI vs. The Citadel Prediction

I’m leaning towards VMI in this one. I’ll preface this by saying there are far better places to have your hard-earned money on Saturday’s card, but between two stinkers in the SoCon, I’m backing VMI. The Keydets have just a better job at covering point spreads this season, and while there isn’t a whole lot to separate these two teams except for the fact that VMI is one of the best free throw shooting teams in the SoCon so if this game is tight late, I trust VMI to hit their free throws and to get the win and cover on the road.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: VMI +1.5

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